St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Yankees (2026-08-04). Hunter Dobbins vs Ryan Weathers at Yankee Stadium.

Starters — Dobbins enters with a 3.74 ERA and 1.34 WHIP across 33.2 innings, with 8.55 K/9, 2.94 BB/9, and 1.07 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed: 5.1 innings and 4 earned runs with 4 strikeouts and 1 walk on July 27, 6 scoreless innings with 5 strikeouts and no walks on July 22, and 5 innings with 3 earned runs, 4 strikeouts, and 3 walks on July 7. The listed trend is down. Weathers has a 3.99 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 115 innings, with a stronger strikeout rate at 9.86 K/9, plus 2.58 BB/9 and 1.33 HR/9. His last three starts show solid form overall: 7 scoreless innings on July 30, 5.2 innings with 1 earned run on July 25, and 4.2 innings with 5 earned runs on July 20. The listed trend is also down, but his two most recent outings were clearly sharper.

Teams — St. Louis carries a .695 OPS and 496 runs scored, with a team 4.16 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. The Cardinals are 4-6 over their last 10 games, and their profile suggests a more average offense paired with a pitching staff that has allowed more traffic than ideal. New York has a .724 OPS and 519 runs scored, along with a 3.37 team ERA and 1.19 WHIP. The Yankees are 5-5 in their last 10, and the underlying team numbers are stronger on both sides of the ball, especially in run prevention. From a betting perspective, New York shows the cleaner full-team statistical base, while St. Louis may need Dobbins to outperform his recent trend to offset the gap in bullpen and staff efficiency.