INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL East

Miami Marlins 2, Atlanta Braves 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:15 PM ET · Truist ParkStats updated Aug 4, 6:45 PM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score54
Miami Marlins
76–77 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 54
2
2–4
FINAL
Atlanta Braves
89–64 · 1st NL East · T-Score 56
4
T-Score56
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBravesThe starters are close overall, but Holmes owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .007 difference in OPS.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formBravesAtlanta has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
PowerBravesAtlanta has 150 home runs this season, 32 more than Miami.

Starting pitchers

MIA
Ryan Gusto RHP
Ryan Gusto
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.14
107th
WHIP
1.44
160th
K/9
7.51
135th
BB/9
2.83
80th
P-Score44i
FIP
4.08
HR/9
1.20
108th
OPS/R
0.747
IP
82.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.91
Road ERA4.45
Last 5 starts
ERA
10.80
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
ATL
Grant Holmes RHP
Grant Holmes
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.49
49th
WHIP
1.30
104th
K/9
6.99
164th
BB/9
3.75
148th
P-Score49i
FIP
4.61
HR/9
1.27
121st
OPS/R
0.746
IP
141.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.54
Road ERA2.43
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.65
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·The WHIP gap favors Holmes, 1.30 to 1.44.
·Gusto owns the lower FIP, 4.08 to 4.61.
·Holmes has a 0% blow-up rate compared with Gusto's 20%.
·Gusto enters with a 4.45 road ERA; Holmes owns a 4.54 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricGustoHolmesNote
ERA−9782Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.084.61
WAR1.01.0Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Gusto arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam28%94.6
Changeup14%87.2
Sweeper13%81.7
Sinker13%93.1
Cutter12%89.3
Slider12%85.5
Curveball9%78.5
Holmes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Slider36%85.3
Four-seam29%94.0
Sinker12%93.0
Cutter9%92.1
Curveball8%82.8
Changeup7%89.2

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Marlins vs RHP (Grant Holmes)
7th
in MLB
0.742OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Braves vs RHP (Ryan Gusto)
11th
in MLB
0.735OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Grant Holmes
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Holmes (BvP)
1Kyle StowersL1B74.78219.820No MLB historyNo history
2Griffin ConineLRF74.83216.898No MLB historyNo history
3Otto LopezRSS71.78710.761No MLB historyNo history
4Owen CaissieLRF60.70014.716No MLB historyNo history
5Heriberto HernándezRLF76.76624.732No MLB historyNo history
6Jakob MarseeLCF57.70211.717No MLB historyNo history
7Leo JiménezR3B37.5652.581No MLB historyNo history
8Joe MackLC55.68313.725No MLB historyNo history
9Javier SanojaR3B61.7799.752No MLB historyNo history
1Kyle Stowers 1B · L.239 / .782 · 19 HRvs hand .820 · No MLB history · No history74H-Score2Griffin Conine RF · L.257 / .832 · 16 HRvs hand .898 · No MLB history · No history74H-Score3Otto Lopez SS · R.306 / .787 · 10 HRvs hand .761 · No MLB history · No history71H-Score4Owen Caissie RF · L.220 / .700 · 14 HRvs hand .716 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score5Heriberto Hernández LF · R.232 / .766 · 24 HRvs hand .732 · No MLB history · No history76H-Score6Jakob Marsee CF · L.227 / .702 · 11 HRvs hand .717 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score7Leo Jiménez 3B · R.199 / .565 · 2 HRvs hand .581 · No MLB history · No history37H-Score8Joe Mack C · L.233 / .683 · 13 HRvs hand .725 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score9Javier Sanoja 3B · R.292 / .779 · 9 HRvs hand .752 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score
Atlanta BravesOfficial lineupvs RHP Ryan Gusto
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gusto (BvP)
1Drake BaldwinLC81.80424.876No MLB historyNo history
2Ronald Acuña Jr.RRF75.79818.813No MLB historyNo history
3Matt OlsonL1B85.82639.842No MLB historyNo history
4Michael Harris IILCF77.80125.813No MLB historyNo history
5Ozzie AlbiesS2B58.70822.688No MLB historyNo history
6Mike YastrzemskiLLF59.68910.708No MLB historyNo history
7Dominic SmithLDH49.6888.723No MLB historyNo history
8Austin RileyR3B60.65717.663No MLB historyNo history
9Jim JarvisLSS34.5641.562No MLB historyNo history
1Drake Baldwin C · L.278 / .804 · 24 HRvs hand .876 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score2Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · R.257 / .798 · 18 HRvs hand .813 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score3Matt Olson 1B · L.250 / .826 · 39 HRvs hand .842 · No MLB history · No history85H-Score4Michael Harris II CF · L.290 / .801 · 25 HRvs hand .813 · No MLB history · No history77H-Score5Ozzie Albies 2B · S.245 / .708 · 22 HRvs hand .688 · No MLB history · No history58H-Score6Mike Yastrzemski LF · L.228 / .689 · 10 HRvs hand .708 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score7Dominic Smith DH · L.255 / .688 · 8 HRvs hand .723 · No MLB history · No history49H-Score8Austin Riley 3B · R.222 / .657 · 17 HRvs hand .663 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score9Jim Jarvis SS · L.207 / .564 · 1 HRvs hand .562 · No MLB history · No history34H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMIAMIA·ATLATL
AVG.249 8th.247 10th
OPS.728 8th.721 13th
Home runs157 25th192 7th
Runs681 16th706 8th
OBP.327 6th.311 25th
SLG.401 16th.410 6th
PitchingMIAMIA·ATLATL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.10vs3.64
MIAATL
WHIP1.28vs1.25
MIAATL
K/98.3vs8.4
MIAATL
HR Allowed160vs170
MIAATL
BullpenMIAMIA·ATLATL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.69vs3.62
no league rank
Saves33vs47
MIAATL
ResultsMIAMIA·ATLATL
+23914th
Run differential
+2738th
76–77 Record89–64
6–4 Last 107–3
Last 10 games
Miami Marlins (6–4)
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
Atlanta Braves (7–3)
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
5—8
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Ryan Gusto (5.31 ERA, 0–2) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Braves?+
Grant Holmes (3.88 ERA, 6–4) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:15 PM ET at Truist Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Truist Park, home of the Atlanta Braves.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Marlins and Braves performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Braves 8–5 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Ryan Gusto is at 44; Grant Holmes is at 49. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.