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Playoff odds, bubble teams & races — 30 clubs
6in the bubble

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs

Tuesday, Aug 4, 2026Wrigley Field8:05 PM ETPreview
LAD · Away · 69-44

Los Angeles Dodgers

NL West · 1st · —
:
8:05 PM ET
H2H 34
CHC · Home · 64-49

Chicago Cubs

Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season2.79
Last 52.08
0.71 ERA better in last 5
6 days restQS 60%Blow-up 0/5
107/07
207/12
007/18
107/24
307/29

↑ ERA trending up lately

Season3.75
Last 51.56
2.19 ERA better in last 5
5 days restQS 0%Blow-up 0/5
007/05
207/11
007/20
007/25
107/30
Matchup edge
Tarik Skubal hotter lately (L5 2.08 ERA)·Dodgers bullpen edge
PitchingDodgers
Dodgers62Cubs52
HittingEven
Dodgers56Cubs58
BullpenDodgers
Dodgers57Cubs49
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs RHP / LHP
Dodgers vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.9073 hot hittersTop: Ohtani 0.972 · Freeman 0.948 · Hernández 0.938

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Cubs vs LHP
Avg OPS 0.9343 hot hittersTop: Dean 1.125 · Ramírez 1.111 · Crow-Armstrong 0.883

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Los Angeles Dodgers hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.302
0.972
24
0.316
0.948
15
0.261
0.841
21
0.323
0.836
3
Chicago Cubs hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.375
1.125
0
0.282
0.835
19
0.333
1.111
1
0.250
0.714
10
◆ Matchup preview

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (2026-08-04). Tarik Skubal vs Javier Assad at Wrigley Field.

Starters — Skubal brings a 2.79 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and 96.2 innings with elite bat-missing and command metrics: 10.8 K/9, 1.3 BB/9, and 0.93 HR/9. His last three starts were strong: 6.2 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 1 BB; 7.1 IP, 1 ER, 12 K, 2 BB; and 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 9 K, 0 BB. The trend is up, supported by swing-and-miss stuff and very limited traffic. Assad has a 3.75 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 69.2 innings with a different profile: 6.2 K/9, 2.33 BB/9, and 1.55 HR/9. His last three outings were 4.1 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 2 BB; 3.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 0 BB; and 1.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB. The trend is flat, with decent run prevention recently but shorter workloads and more home-run risk overall.

Teams — Los Angeles enters with a .772 OPS, 577 runs, and a .262 team average, backed by a 3.70 team ERA and 1.15 WHIP. The recent form is less convincing at 4-6 over the last 10, but the season-long offensive efficiency is slightly stronger than Chicago’s. The Cubs have a .753 OPS, 580 runs, and a .248 average, with a 4.09 team ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Chicago is 6-4 in its last 10, and while the lineup has scored slightly more total runs, the overall pitching indicators are weaker than the Dodgers’ on the season.

Key facts
Skubal has a 2.79 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and 10.8 K/9Assad has a 1.55 HR/9 and has not worked more than 4.1 innings in his last three outingsDodgers: .772 OPS and 3.70 team ERA, Cubs: 580 runs and 6-4 in last 10
Head to head (2025–2026)
34
Chicago Cubs lead series
7 meetings total
2025-04-23
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs
67
CHC
2025-04-22
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs
1011
CHC
2025-04-13
Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers
42
CHC
2025-04-12
Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers
160
CHC
2025-04-11
Chicago Cubs @ Los Angeles Dodgers
03
LAD
Team picture · 2026
46
LLLLWWLLWW
64
WLWLWLWWLW
LAD
CHC
Team AVG
0.262
0.248
Team OPS
0.772
0.753
Home runs
145
139
Runs scored
577
580
Team ERA
3.70
4.09
HR allowed
134
168

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