Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies (2026-07-21). Justin Wrobleski vs Zack Wheeler at Citizens Bank Park.
Starters — Wrobleski has a 2.69 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 100.1 innings with 6.55 K/9, 1.79 BB/9, and 0.72 HR/9. His last three starts were strong and steady: 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 9 K, 2 BB; 7.0 IP, 3 ER, 11 K, 0 BB; and 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 K, 2 BB. The trend is down, which supports the recent run prevention. Wheeler brings a 2.13 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and 93.0 innings with 10.45 K/9, 2.13 BB/9, and 0.97 HR/9. His last three starts were 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 10 K, 2 BB; 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 14 K, 0 BB; and 4.2 IP, 4 ER, 10 K, 1 BB. The trend is also down, and the strikeout profile is the standout edge.
Teams — Los Angeles has the stronger offensive baseline with a .773 OPS and 524 runs scored. The Dodgers also pair that with a 3.56 team ERA and 1.14 WHIP, although their recent form is just 4-6 over the last 10. Philadelphia has a .707 OPS and 442 runs scored, with a .237 team average. On the pitching side, the Phillies sit at a 4.24 team ERA and 1.32 WHIP, but they have been a bit sharper lately at 6-4 over their last 10. From a matchup perspective, the Dodgers look more complete on full-season team metrics, while the Phillies counter with the more dominant individual starter and slightly better recent team form.
