INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL Central

Minnesota Twins 2, Cleveland Guardians 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

6:40 PM ET · Progressive FieldGame-day snapshot Jul 21, 7:00 PM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 19, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score40
Minnesota Twins
77–85 · 3rd AL Central · T-Score 40
2
2–5
FINAL
Cleveland Guardians
85–77 · 1st AL Central · T-Score 41
5
T-Score41
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
LineupTwinsMinnesota's official lineup includes 6 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenGuardiansCleveland owns a 3.75 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Minnesota's 4.41.
Starter formTwinsRojas has a 0.00 ERA over his last five starts, while Messick is at 2.87.
Recent formGuardiansCleveland has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.

Starting pitchers

MIN
Kendry Rojas LHP
Kendry Rojas
Minnesota Twins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.79
WHIP
1.60
K/9
10.24
BB/9
7.45
FIP
–
HR/9
0.47
OPS/R
–
IP
19.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
0.00
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
3
CLE
Parker Messick LHP
Parker Messick
Cleveland Guardians
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.73
10th
WHIP
1.07
20th
K/9
8.84
54th
BB/9
2.89
41st
P-Score75i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.80
33rd
OPS/R
–
IP
112.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.87
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
11
How the starters differ
·Messick allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.07 WHIP compared with 1.60.
·Rojas strikes out 1.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Messick has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 0%.
·Messick has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.33 more per nine innings.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Rojas arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam43%96.0
Slider28%89.0
Changeup15%89.0
Sinker14%94.8
Messick arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam42%94.4
Changeup24%85.9
Sinker15%92.8
Curveball8%79.3
Slider7%87.0
Cutter5%90.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Twins vs LHP (Parker Messick)
26th
in MLB
0.678OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Guardians vs LHP (Kendry Rojas)
27th
in MLB
0.675OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Minnesota TwinsOfficial lineupvs LHP Parker Messick
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Messick (BvP)
1Austin MartinRRF37.6563.808No MLB historyNo history
2Byron BuxtonRCF65.83025.741No MLB historyNo history
3Ryan JeffersRC73.81414.855No MLB historyNo history
4Josh BellSDH66.73821.743No MLB historyNo history
5Royce LewisR1B55.66715.738No MLB historyNo history
6Victor CaratiniSC48.6277.575No MLB historyNo history
7Kody ClemensL2B70.75827.710No MLB historyNo history
8Luke KeaschallR2B57.78110.688No MLB historyNo history
9Ryan KreidlerRSS45.6658.577No MLB historyNo history
1Austin Martin RF · R.228 / .656 · 3 HRvs hand .808 · No MLB history · No history37H-Score2Byron Buxton CF · R.254 / .830 · 25 HRvs hand .741 · No MLB history · No history65H-Score3Ryan Jeffers C · R.256 / .814 · 14 HRvs hand .855 · No MLB history · No history73H-Score4Josh Bell DH · S.255 / .738 · 21 HRvs hand .743 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score5Royce Lewis 1B · R.227 / .667 · 15 HRvs hand .738 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score6Victor Caratini C · S.220 / .627 · 7 HRvs hand .575 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score7Kody Clemens 2B · L.239 / .758 · 27 HRvs hand .710 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score8Luke Keaschall 2B · R.282 / .781 · 10 HRvs hand .688 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score9Ryan Kreidler SS · R.218 / .665 · 8 HRvs hand .577 · No MLB history · No history45H-Score
Cleveland GuardiansOfficial lineupvs LHP Kendry Rojas
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Rojas (BvP)
1Steven KwanLLF53.7313.609No MLB historyNo history
2Brayan RocchioSSS54.70415.619No MLB historyNo history
3Chase DeLauterLRF79.82016.844No MLB historyNo history
4Rhys HoskinsR1B46.68213.643No MLB historyNo history
5David FryRRF42.6778.613No MLB historyNo history
6Travis BazzanaL2B61.74315.526No MLB historyNo history
7Gabriel AriasR3B40.6535.285No MLB historyNo history
8Austin HedgesRC49.7026.747No MLB historyNo history
9Petey HalpinLCF30.5944.338No MLB historyNo history
1Steven Kwan LF · L.282 / .731 · 3 HRvs hand .609 · No MLB history · No history53H-Score2Brayan Rocchio SS · S.253 / .704 · 15 HRvs hand .619 · No MLB history · No history54H-Score3Chase DeLauter RF · L.287 / .820 · 16 HRvs hand .844 · No MLB history · No history79H-Score4Rhys Hoskins 1B · R.179 / .682 · 13 HRvs hand .643 · No MLB history · No history46H-Score5David Fry RF · R.201 / .677 · 8 HRvs hand .613 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score6Travis Bazzana 2B · L.245 / .743 · 15 HRvs hand .526 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score7Gabriel Arias 3B · R.243 / .653 · 5 HRvs hand .285 · No MLB history · No history40H-Score8Austin Hedges C · R.247 / .702 · 6 HRvs hand .747 · No MLB history · No history49H-Score9Petey Halpin CF · L.225 / .594 · 4 HRvs hand .338 · No MLB history · No history30H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMINMIN·CLECLE
AVG.245 14th.239 23rd
OPS.720 12th.696 26th
Home runs187 12th162 27th
Runs739 10th678 24th
OBP.317 14th.316 17th
SLG.403 10th.380 27th
PitchingMINMIN·CLECLE
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.56vs3.77
MINCLE
WHIP1.36vs1.26
MINCLE
K/98.7vs9.6
MINCLE
HR Allowed186vs175
MINCLE
BullpenMINMIN·CLECLE
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.41vs3.75
no league rank
Saves45vs46
MINCLE
ResultsMINMIN·CLECLE
+34815th
Run differential
+28823rd
77–85 Record85–77
5–5 Last 106–4
Last 10 games
Minnesota Twins (5–5)
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
Cleveland Guardians (6–4)
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
5—9
14 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Twins?+
Kendry Rojas (2.79 ERA, 1–1) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Guardians?+
Parker Messick (2.73 ERA, 8–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:40 PM ET at Progressive Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Progressive Field, home of the Cleveland Guardians.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Twins and Guardians performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Guardians 9–5 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.