New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers (2026-07-21). Zac Thornton vs Brandon Sproat at American Family Field.

Starters — Thornton has a 2.60 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 17.1 innings with 7.79 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, and 0.52 HR/9. His last three starts were 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 2 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 7 K, 1 BB; and 4.1 IP, 4 ER, 3 K, 2 BB. The sample is small, but the recent form looks sharp after that rougher outing in May. Sproat has a 5.16 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and 82.0 innings with 9.55 K/9, 4.28 BB/9, and 1.65 HR/9. His last three starts were 3.0 IP, 2 ER, 3 K, 2 BB; 4.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 3 BB; and 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 2 BB. The trend is listed down, and the profile shows swing-and-miss stuff but also elevated walks and home run damage.

Teams — New York enters with a .683 OPS and 412 runs scored, backed by a 4.27 team ERA and 1.31 WHIP. The Mets are 4-6 in their last 10, and the offense has been more modest overall, with less margin for error if the lineup does not string together baserunners. Milwaukee carries a .736 OPS and 510 runs scored with a 3.44 team ERA and 1.16 WHIP. The Brewers are 6-4 in their last 10, and their season-long team numbers are stronger on both sides of the ball, especially in run production and run prevention.