Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres (2026-08-11). Kyle Harrison vs Walker Buehler at Petco Park.

Starters — Kyle Harrison has a 2.84 ERA and 1.04 WHIP across 88.2 innings, with elite bat-missing ability at 11.27 K/9, plus strong control at 2.13 BB/9. His 1.02 HR/9 is manageable, and he has allowed 10 homers overall. Over his last three starts, he went 5.0 innings with 0 earned runs, 10 strikeouts, and 1 walk on August 5, then 4.0 innings with 3 earned runs and 2 strikeouts on July 8, and 2.2 innings with 3 earned runs and 3 strikeouts on July 3. The listed trend is down, but the most recent outing was his sharpest of the three. Walker Buehler carries a 5.07 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 108.1 innings, with 7.89 K/9, 3.74 BB/9, and 1.16 HR/9. He has surrendered 14 home runs. In his last three starts, he logged 4.0 innings with 1 earned run, 3 strikeouts, and 1 walk on August 6, 4.1 innings with 3 earned runs and 1 strikeout on August 1, and 5.1 innings with 2 earned runs and 7 strikeouts on July 26. His trend is also listed down, though his recent run prevention has been steadier than his full-season line.

Teams — Milwaukee brings the stronger offensive profile with a .734 OPS, .252 average, and 587 runs scored. The Brewers also own the better pitching baseline, posting a 3.47 team ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Their 6-4 record over the last 10 games suggests solid current form without being overwhelming. San Diego has a .698 OPS, .236 average, and 507 runs, so the lineup has been less productive overall. On the mound, the Padres sit at a 4.14 team ERA and 1.32 WHIP, both weaker than Milwaukee’s marks. The Padres are 7-3 in their last 10, which points to better recent momentum and could matter if this turns into a bullpen-driven game.