Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins

Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins (2026-08-11). Paul Skenes vs Eury Pérez at loanDepot park.

Starters — Skenes enters with a 3.96 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 129.2 innings, backed by elite swing-and-miss production at 11.24 K/9 with 2.5 BB/9 and 0.9 HR/9. His last three starts were rough on run prevention: 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 6 K, 4 BB; 4.0 IP, 5 ER, 7 K, 4 BB; and 5.1 IP, 5 ER, 11 K, 2 BB. The strikeout rate remains strong, but the recent trend is up in terms of damage allowed and shorter outings. Pérez has a 3.61 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 109.2 innings with 9.93 K/9, 3.45 BB/9, and 1.07 HR/9. His last three starts were 5.0 IP, 4 ER, 9 K, 2 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 2 BB; and 7.0 IP, 3 ER, 2 K, 1 BB. His trend is also up, though his recent line is steadier overall than Skenes’ despite a bit more walk risk on the season.

Teams — Pittsburgh brings the stronger lineup profile with a .746 OPS, .256 average, and 602 runs scored. The concern for bettors is current form, as the Pirates are 3-7 over their last 10 games, while their pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Miami’s offense is lighter at a .731 OPS, .251 average, and 524 runs, but the Marlins have been more balanced on the mound with a 3.97 team ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Their recent form is more neutral at 5-5 in the last 10, which matters in a matchup where both starters have shown some recent volatility.