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Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Monday, Aug 10, 2026Petco ParkFinal
MIL · Away · 74-45

Milwaukee Brewers

NL Central · 1st · —
2:3
Final
H2H 24
SD · Home · 63-57

San Diego Padres

Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season2.70
Last 52.67
Recent form near season pace
6 days restQS (L5) 20%Blow-up (L5) 0/5
307/09
107/17
207/22
007/28
208/04

↓ ERA trending down lately

Season3.40
Last 55.40
2.00 ERA worse in last 5
5 days restQS (L5) 40%Blow-up (L5) 1/5
207/05
307/11
107/19
107/25
808/05

↑ ERA trending up lately

Matchup edge
Logan Henderson pitching edge·Brewers 73 L10
PitchingBrewers
Brewers67Padres12
HittingBrewers
Brewers55Padres39
BullpenEven
Brewers63Padres60
Lineup threats vs starter
Brewers vs Casey Mize
Avg OPS 0.8574 hot hittersTop: Yelich 1.667 · Turang 1.500 · Chourio 1.000
Padres vs Logan Henderson

No prior plate appearances vs this starter in our data.

Milwaukee Brewers batters vs Casey Mize
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.667
1.500
16
0.500
1.000
17
0.000
0.000
21
0.000
0.167
5
0.000
0.333
8
0.167
0.334
11
1.000
1.667
8
0
0.500
1.000
3
San Diego Padres batters vs Logan Henderson
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
17
15
◆ Matchup preview

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres (2026-08-10). Logan Henderson vs Casey Mize at Petco Park.

Starters — Henderson has a 2.70 ERA and 0.90 WHIP across 50.0 innings, with 11.16 K/9, 1.8 BB/9, and 1.26 HR/9. His last three starts: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 8 K, 1 BB; 5.2 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, 2 BB; 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 9 K, 0 BB. The strikeout rate and control stand out, and his recent form points to a favorable trend. Mize carries a 3.40 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over 90.0 innings, with 8.6 K/9, 2.2 BB/9, and 0.6 HR/9. His last three starts: 3.1 IP, 8 ER, 1 K, 3 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 K, 0 BB; 3.1 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 1 BB. The overall profile is solid, especially in limiting home runs, but the most recent outing introduces some short-term volatility.

Teams — Milwaukee owns a .735 OPS, 585 runs, a .253 average, and a staff 3.47 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP. The Brewers are also 7-3 in their last 10, backing up the stronger season-long offensive and pitching indicators. San Diego has a .698 OPS, 504 runs, a .237 average, and a 4.16 team ERA with a 1.32 WHIP. The Padres are also 7-3 over their last 10, so recent form is positive, but their full-season run creation and run prevention metrics trail Milwaukee’s.

Key facts
Logan Henderson has a 2.70 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and 11.16 K/9Casey Mize has allowed just 6 HR in 90.0 IP for a 0.6 HR/9Milwaukee holds the edge in OPS (.735 to .698) and team ERA (3.47 to 4.16)
◆ Lineup notes

Milwaukee has several hitters with at least some history against Casey Mize, led by Christian Yelich, who is 2-for-2 in 3 PA with a 1.667 OPS, and Brice Turang, who is 2-for-3 in 6 PA with a .667 average and 1.500 OPS. Jackson Chourio is 1-for-2 with a .500 average and 1.000 OPS, and David Hamilton is also 1-for-2 with a .500 average and 1.000 OPS. William Contreras has gone 1-for-6 with a .167 average and .334 OPS, while Jake Bauers is hitless at 0-for-3 with a .000 OPS, Andrew Vaughn is 0-for-5 in 6 PA with a .167 OPS, and Garrett Mitchell is 0-for-2 in 3 PA with a .333 OPS. Luis Lara has no MLB history vs Mize.

San Diego’s lineup has no MLB history against Logan Henderson. Fernando Tatis Jr., Jake Cronenworth, Manny Machado, Ty France, Jackson Merrill, Luis Rengifo, Gavin Sheets, Freddy Fermin, and Sung-Mun Song have not previously faced him in the majors.

The clear familiarity edge goes to Milwaukee, which brings multiple hitters with prior looks at Mize and a few strong small-sample results. San Diego is seeing Henderson for the first time across the board.

Head to head (2025–2026)
24
San Diego Padres lead series
6 meetings total
2025-09-24
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
31
MIL
2025-09-23
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
07
SD
2025-09-22
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres
45
SD
2025-06-08
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers
10
SD
2025-06-07
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers
34
MIL
Team picture · 2026
73
WWLWWWLLWW
73
WWLWLWLWWW
MIL
SD
Team AVG
0.253
0.237
Team OPS
0.735
0.698
Home runs
109
128
Runs scored
585
504
Team ERA
3.47
4.16
HR allowed
118
133

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