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5in the bubble

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Tuesday, Aug 11, 2026Rogers Centre7:07 PM ETPreview
BOS · Away · 64-54

Boston Red Sox

AL East · 5th · 8.0 GB
:
7:07 PM ET
H2H 58
TOR · Home · 57-63

Toronto Blue Jays

AL East · 3rd · 16.0 GB
Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season3.38
Last 53.48
Recent form near season pace
7 days restQS 0%Blow-up 0/5
107/09
407/18
007/24
207/29
208/04

↑ ERA trending up lately

Season2.28
Last 51.00
1.28 ERA better in last 5
5 days restQS 100%Blow-up 0/5
007/08
307/20
007/25
107/31
008/06

↓ ERA trending down lately

Matchup edge
Dylan Cease hotter lately (L5 1.00 ERA)·Boston 73 L10
PitchingToronto
Boston37Toronto91
HittingBoston
Boston46Toronto29
BullpenBoston
Boston71Toronto48
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs RHP / LHP
Boston vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.7131 hot hitterTop: Contreras 0.901 · Mead 0.781 · Rafaela 0.715

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Toronto vs LHP
Avg OPS 0.7321 hot hitterTop: Clase 0.905 · Urías 0.804 · Okamoto 0.803

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Boston Red Sox hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.288
0.901
23
0.224
0.781
17
0.275
0.715
15
0.227
0.687
20
Toronto Blue Jays hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.273
0.905
2
0.286
0.804
3
0.148
0.364
8
0.250
0.803
24
0.287
0.784
9
◆ Matchup preview

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (2026-08-11). Patrick Sandoval vs Dylan Cease at Rogers Centre.

Starters — Sandoval has a 3.38 ERA and 1.67 WHIP across 24 innings, with 9.38 K/9, 3.75 BB/9, and 1.13 HR/9. His last three starts were 5 innings, 2 earned runs, 5 strikeouts, 4 walks; 5 innings, 2 earned runs, 7 strikeouts, 2 walks; and 4.2 innings, 0 earned runs, 3 strikeouts, 2 walks. The run prevention has been solid lately, and the listed trend is up, but the WHIP and walk rate point to traffic on the bases. Cease has a 2.28 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 126.1 innings, with 13.11 K/9, 3.7 BB/9, and 0.5 HR/9. His last three starts were 7 innings, 0 earned runs, 10 strikeouts, 1 walk; 6 innings, 1 earned run, 7 strikeouts, 3 walks; and 9 innings, 0 earned runs, 12 strikeouts, 3 walks. The strikeout profile is elite, the home-run suppression stands out, and his recent form has been dominant despite the listed trend being down.

Teams — Boston brings a .721 OPS, 524 runs, a .248 average, and strong pitching support with a 3.49 team ERA and 1.22 WHIP. The Red Sox are also 7-3 in their last 10, which supports the idea that they are arriving in good overall form. Toronto has a .679 OPS, 471 runs, and a .241 average, while its staff has a 3.99 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. The Blue Jays are 6-4 in their last 10, so the recent form is still positive, but the season-long offensive and pitching indicators trail Boston’s team profile.

Key facts
Cease carries a 2.28 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 13.11 K/9 in 126.1 IPBoston owns a .721 OPS and 524 runs with a 3.49 team ERASandoval’s 3.38 ERA is paired with a 1.67 WHIP and 3.75 BB/9
Head to head (2025–2026)
58
Toronto Blue Jays lead series
13 meetings total
2025-09-25
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
16
TOR
2025-09-24
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
71
BOS
2025-09-23
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays
41
BOS
2025-06-29
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
53
TOR
2025-06-28
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
115
BOS
Team picture · 2026
73
LLLWWWWWWW
64
WLWWLWLWLW
BOS
TOR
Team AVG
0.248
0.241
Team OPS
0.721
0.679
Home runs
118
115
Runs scored
524
471
Team ERA
3.49
3.99
HR allowed
117
125

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