Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox (2026-08-11). Nick Lodolo vs Sean Burke at Rate Field.

Starters — Lodolo has a 4.60 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, and 62.2 innings, with 7.18 K/9, 3.88 BB/9, and 1.29 HR/9. His last three starts were strong on run prevention: 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, 3 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 2 BB; and 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 K, 4 BB. The trend is down, but the recent game log shows improved results despite some persistent walk traffic. Burke brings a 3.08 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 128.2 innings, with 10.07 K/9, 2.73 BB/9, and 0.98 HR/9. His last three starts were 4.1 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, 2 BB; 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 10 K, 2 BB; and 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 10 K, 1 BB. The trend is up, supported by swing-and-miss stuff and cleaner command.

Teams — Cincinnati owns a .706 OPS and 482 runs, with a 4.48 team ERA and 1.41 WHIP. The Reds are 6-4 over their last 10, which suggests decent recent form, but their season-long offensive and pitching indicators are more middle tier. Chicago has a .722 OPS and 557 runs, with a 4.11 team ERA and 1.31 WHIP. The White Sox are 5-5 in their last 10, but their full-season profile is stronger on both offense and run prevention. From a betting perspective, Chicago shows the better baseline lineup production, while Cincinnati’s recent stretch is more competitive than the season totals alone suggest.