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5in the bubble

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees

Tuesday, Aug 11, 2026Yankee Stadium7:05 PM ETPreview
SEA · Away · 56-63

Seattle Mariners

AL West · 5th · 4.5 GB
:
7:05 PM ET
H2H 15
NYY · Home · 66-52

New York Yankees

Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season4.31
Last 54.82
0.51 ERA worse in last 5
6 days restQS 40%Blow-up 0/5
307/07
207/18
507/25
507/30
008/05

↓ ERA trending down lately

Season3.79
Last 52.29
1.50 ERA better in last 5
7 days restQS 40%Blow-up 0/5
107/10
507/20
107/25
007/30
008/04

↓ ERA trending down lately

Matchup edge
Ryan Weathers hotter lately (L5 2.29 ERA)·Yankees 55 L10
PitchingYankees
Seattle45Yankees65
HittingYankees
Seattle20Yankees41
BullpenYankees
Seattle68Yankees77
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs LHP / RHP
Seattle vs LHP
Avg OPS 0.8042 hot hittersTop: Canzone 0.993 · Rodríguez 0.860 · Donovan 0.777

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Yankees vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.9214 hot hittersTop: Jr. 1.047 · Rice 1.004 · Jr. 0.901

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Seattle Mariners hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.273
0.993
18
0.270
0.765
14
0.258
0.777
3
0.253
0.860
18
0.224
0.625
14
New York Yankees hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.248
0.890
17
0.281
1.004
32
0.289
0.901
24
0.245
0.763
11
◆ Matchup preview

Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees (2026-08-11). Bryan Woo vs Ryan Weathers at Yankee Stadium.

Starters — Bryan Woo has a 4.31 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 127.1 innings with 8.98 K/9, 1.91 BB/9, and 0.92 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 1 BB on August 5; 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 8 K, 2 BB on July 30; and 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 5 K, 2 BB on July 25. The trend is listed down, although the most recent outing was his sharpest of the three. Ryan Weathers enters with a 3.79 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and 121.0 innings, plus 9.82 K/9, 2.53 BB/9, and 1.26 HR/9. His last three starts have been strong: 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 1 BB on August 4; 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 K, 3 BB on July 30; and 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 7 K, 1 BB on July 25. The trend is also listed down, but his recent form points the other way with just 1 earned run allowed across those three outings.

Teams — Seattle has a .683 OPS, 462 runs scored, a .229 team average, and a pitching staff with a 3.78 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. The recent form is a concern at 3-7 over the last 10 games, which matters for bettors weighing current offensive support and bullpen reliability. New York carries a .720 OPS, 531 runs scored, a .230 team average, and stronger run prevention overall with a 3.30 team ERA and 1.18 WHIP. The Yankees are 5-5 in their last 10, and their profile is steadier on both sides of the ball, especially in overall scoring and staff quality.

Key facts
Woo has elite control at 1.91 BB/9 and a 1.12 WHIPWeathers has allowed 1 ER in his last 18.2 IP combinedNew York owns the better team OPS (.720 to .683) and team ERA (3.30 to 3.78)
Head to head (2025–2026)
15
New York Yankees lead series
6 meetings total
2025-07-10
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees
56
NYY
2025-07-09
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees
69
NYY
2025-07-08
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees
310
NYY
2025-05-14
New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners
32
NYY
2025-05-13
New York Yankees @ Seattle Mariners
12
SEA
Team picture · 2026
37
LLLLWLWWLL
55
LWWLWLWLWL
SEA
NYY
Team AVG
0.229
0.230
Team OPS
0.683
0.720
Home runs
137
167
Runs scored
462
531
Team ERA
3.78
3.30
HR allowed
129
116

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