INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / NL West

Milwaukee Brewers 3, San Diego Padres 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

4:10 PM ET · Petco ParkStats updated Aug 12, 4:45 PM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score78
Milwaukee Brewers
101–59 · 1st NL Central · T-Score 78
3
3–4
FINAL
San Diego Padres
89–71 · 2nd NL West · T-Score 52
4
T-Score52
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBrewersThe starters are close overall, but May owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .011 difference in OPS.
LineupBrewersMilwaukee's official lineup includes 6 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
Recent formPadresSan has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Team strengthBrewersMilwaukee leads 78–52 in T-Score.

Starting pitchers

MIL
Dustin May RHP
Dustin May
Milwaukee Brewers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.67
148th
WHIP
1.32
118th
K/9
8.77
83rd
BB/9
3.09
107th
P-Score50i
FIP
3.59
HR/9
0.82
33rd
OPS/R
0.649
IP
142.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.87
Road ERA5.88
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.46
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
SD
Robbie Ray LHP
Robbie Ray
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.59
56th
WHIP
1.35
133rd
K/9
7.61
133rd
BB/9
4.56
202nd
P-Score50i
FIP
4.73
HR/9
1.20
110th
OPS/R
0.715
IP
165.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.20
Road ERA4.02
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.42
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·May owns the lower FIP, 3.59 to 4.73.
·May walks 1.5 fewer batters per nine innings.
·May owns a 8.8 K/9 compared with Ray's 7.6.
·May allows the lower home-run rate: 0.82 vs 1.20 per nine.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricMayRayNote
ERA−11389Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.594.73
WAR2.70.8Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

May arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam25%96.9
Cutter24%93.3
Sinker20%96.6
Sweeper18%86.0
Curveball7%83.5
Changeup6%90.2
Ray arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam32%93.1
Slider23%86.1
Changeup19%86.2
Sinker14%92.6
Knuckle Curve12%79.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Brewers vs LHP (Robbie Ray)
13th
in MLB
0.707OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Padres vs RHP (Dustin May)
16th
in MLB
0.718OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Milwaukee BrewersOfficial lineupvs LHP Robbie Ray
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Ray (BvP)
1Jackson ChourioRLF82.83125.921No MLB historyNo history
2Brice TurangL2B74.81320.566No MLB historyNo history
3Andrew VaughnR1B70.8346.974No MLB historyNo history
4Jake BauersL1B84.88026.882No MLB historyNo history
5William ContrerasRC74.75718.767No MLB historyNo history
6Gary SánchezRC62.76911.826No MLB historyNo history
7Brandon LockridgeRLF30.6580.548No MLB historyNo history
8David HamiltonL3B39.6464.652No MLB historyNo history
9Joey OrtizRSS57.7309.664No MLB historyNo history
1Jackson Chourio LF · R.286 / .831 · 25 HRvs hand .921 · No MLB history · No history82H-Score2Brice Turang 2B · L.268 / .813 · 20 HRvs hand .566 · No MLB history · No history74H-Score3Andrew Vaughn 1B · R.306 / .834 · 6 HRvs hand .974 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score4Jake Bauers 1B · L.268 / .880 · 26 HRvs hand .882 · No MLB history · No history84H-Score5William Contreras C · R.270 / .757 · 18 HRvs hand .767 · No MLB history · No history74H-Score6Gary Sánchez C · R.210 / .769 · 11 HRvs hand .826 · No MLB history · No history62H-Score7Brandon Lockridge LF · R.273 / .658 · 0 HRvs hand .548 · No MLB history · No history30H-Score8David Hamilton 3B · L.243 / .646 · 4 HRvs hand .652 · No MLB history · No history39H-Score9Joey Ortiz SS · R.270 / .730 · 9 HRvs hand .664 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Dustin May
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs May (BvP)
1Luis RengifoSLF44.6364.677No MLB historyNo history
2Jake CronenworthL2B37.6217.622No MLB historyNo history
3Manny MachadoR3B70.70429.706No MLB historyNo history
4Ty FranceR1B77.86521.869No MLB historyNo history
5Jackson MerrillLCF71.74126.740No MLB historyNo history
6Austin HaysRDH36.6863.549No MLB historyNo history
7Gavin SheetsL1B58.70116.754No MLB historyNo history
8Xander BogaertsRSS59.66712.675No MLB historyNo history
9Freddy FerminRC34.5784.604No MLB historyNo history
1Luis Rengifo LF · S.240 / .636 · 4 HRvs hand .677 · No MLB history · No history44H-Score2Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.224 / .621 · 7 HRvs hand .622 · No MLB history · No history37H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.215 / .704 · 29 HRvs hand .706 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.294 / .865 · 21 HRvs hand .869 · No MLB history · No history77H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.253 / .741 · 26 HRvs hand .740 · No MLB history · No history71H-Score6Austin Hays DH · R.271 / .686 · 3 HRvs hand .549 · No MLB history · No history36H-Score7Gavin Sheets 1B · L.211 / .701 · 16 HRvs hand .754 · No MLB history · No history58H-Score8Xander Bogaerts SS · R.230 / .667 · 12 HRvs hand .675 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score9Freddy Fermin C · R.197 / .578 · 4 HRvs hand .604 · No MLB history · No history34H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMILMIL·SDSD
AVG.258 1st.243 17th
OPS.742 4th.715 19th
Home runs152 29th180 16th
Runs823 2nd703 19th
OBP.340 1st.318 14th
SLG.402 13th.397 20th
PitchingMILMIL·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.52vs3.97
MILSD
WHIP1.18vs1.29
MILSD
K/99.6vs8.2
MILSD
HR Allowed169vs179
MILSD
BullpenMILMIL·SDSD
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.64vs3.81
no league rank
Saves53vs48
MILSD
ResultsMILMIL·SDSD
+3922nd
Run differential
+24816th
101–59 Record89–71
5–5 Last 107–3
Last 10 games
Milwaukee Brewers (5–5)
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
San Diego Padres (7–3)
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—4
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Dustin May (4.30 ERA, 6–7) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Padres?+
Robbie Ray (3.24 ERA, 10–7) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:10 PM ET at Petco Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Petco Park, home of the San Diego Padres.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Brewers and Padres performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Padres 4–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Dustin May is at 50; Robbie Ray is at 50. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.