Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres (2026-08-12). Dustin May vs Robbie Ray at Petco Park.

Starters — Dustin May has a 4.30 ERA and 1.27 WHIP across 115.0 innings, with 8.69 K/9, 2.97 BB/9, and 0.63 HR/9. His last three starts were strong: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 3 BB; 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 2 BB; and 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 1 BB. The recent trend is down, which aligns with the improved run prevention over those outings. Robbie Ray carries a 3.24 ERA and 1.33 WHIP over 127.2 innings, with 7.68 K/9, 4.37 BB/9, and 1.13 HR/9. His last three starts were 5.0 IP, 4 ER, 2 K, 5 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 1 BB; and 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 2 BB. The trend is up, but the most recent start showed control issues that bettors should weigh against his stronger full-season ERA.

Teams — Milwaukee has been the better all-around statistical club, posting a .732 OPS and 589 runs scored, backed by a 3.54 team ERA and 1.17 WHIP. The Brewers are 5-5 over their last 10, and their profile suggests a more balanced team with steadier run prevention. San Diego enters with a .703 OPS and 518 runs, along with a 4.12 team ERA and 1.31 WHIP. The Padres are 7-3 in their last 10, so recent form is better, but the season-long offensive and pitching indicators still trail Milwaukee in most key categories.