Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers (2026-08-01). Payton Tolle vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

Starters — Tolle has a 3.32 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across 95.0 innings, with 9.76 K/9, 2.56 BB/9, and 1.04 HR/9. His last three starts: 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 1 BB; 5.2 IP, 4 ER, 9 K, 1 BB; 3.2 IP, 1 ER, 7 K, 1 BB. The strikeout rate is a clear betting strength, and the recent form points to swing-and-miss stuff with generally solid control, though the listed trend is down. Yamamoto brings a 2.72 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 125.2 innings, with 8.45 K/9, 2.01 BB/9, and 0.93 HR/9. His last three starts: 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 3 BB; 9.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 0 BB; 6.0 IP, 6 ER, 6 K, 4 BB. He has been the more efficient run suppressor over a larger workload, and his WHIP stands out, although his listed trend is also down after one rough outing in that three-start sample.

Teams — Boston enters with a .710 OPS, 463 runs scored, a .245 team average, and a pitching staff carrying a 3.54 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP. The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10, which suggests decent current form, but their offensive profile is more middle tier than explosive based on the OPS and run total. Los Angeles has a .774 OPS, 566 runs scored, a .262 team average, and a 3.61 team ERA with a 1.14 WHIP. The Dodgers are 6-4 in their last 10 and hold the stronger lineup indicators, especially in OPS, batting average, and total runs, while also pairing that with a slightly cleaner staff WHIP.