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6in the bubble

New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs

Saturday, Aug 1, 2026Wrigley Field7:15 PM ETPreview
NYY · Away · 62-48

New York Yankees

AL East · 4th · 2.5 GB
:
7:15 PM ET
H2H 12
CHC · Home · 62-48

Chicago Cubs

Starting pitchers
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season3.23
Last 55.70
2.47 ERA worse in last 5
5 days restQS 0%Blow-up 0/5
305/03
505/08
305/13
007/22
307/27

↓ ERA trending down lately

Season5.80
Last 55.44
0.36 ERA better in last 5
5 days restQS 20%Blow-up 1/5
206/27
1007/03
107/09
007/21
207/27

↓ ERA trending down lately

Matchup edge
Max Fried pitching edge·Cubs 64 L10
PitchingYankees
Yankees39Cubs5
HittingCubs
Yankees46Cubs58
BullpenYankees
Yankees73Cubs49
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs LHP / LHP
Yankees vs LHP
Avg OPS 0.8882 hot hittersTop: Goldschmidt 1.162 · Judge 0.947 · Bellinger 0.795

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

Cubs vs LHP
Avg OPS 0.9914 hot hittersTop: Dean 1.125 · Ramírez 1.111 · Triantos 1.000

Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.

New York Yankees hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.241
0.761
31
0.246
0.947
17
0.261
0.795
11
0.363
1.162
16
0.250
0.774
4
Chicago Cubs hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
0.375
1.125
0
0.500
1.000
0
0.282
0.835
18
0.333
1.111
1
◆ Matchup preview

New York Yankees at Chicago Cubs (2026-08-01). Max Fried vs David Peterson at Wrigley Field.

Starters — Fried has a 3.23 ERA and 1.02 WHIP across 69.2 innings, with 7.88 K/9, 2.84 BB/9, and an elite 0.13 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed: 3 IP, 3 ER, 4 K, 2 BB on July 27; 5 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, 1 BB on July 22; and 3 IP, 3 ER, 2 K, 1 BB on May 13. The listed trend is down, but the season-long run prevention and home-run suppression remain strong. Peterson carries a 5.80 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over 94.2 innings, with 7.32 K/9, 3.80 BB/9, and 0.95 HR/9. His last three starts were his best stretch in a while: 5.2 IP, 2 ER, 3 K, 2 BB on July 27; 6.2 IP, 0 ER, 4 K, 1 BB on July 21; and 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 K, 4 BB on July 9. The listed trend is down, although the recent game log suggests improved short-term form.

Teams — New York enters with a .724 OPS, 508 runs scored, a .232 team average, and a strong 3.28 team ERA with a 1.18 WHIP. The Yankees are 6-4 over their last 10, and their profile leans more on pitching efficiency than pure lineup volume. Chicago has the stronger offensive line on paper, posting a .752 OPS, 564 runs, and a .248 average. The Cubs are also 6-4 in their last 10, but their staff has been less reliable overall with a 4.13 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. That creates a contrast between Chicago’s deeper offensive production and New York’s cleaner run prevention.

Key facts
Fried has allowed just 1 home run in 69.2 inningsPeterson has a 5.80 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 94.2 inningsCubs hold the better OPS (.752) and runs scored (564), while Yankees own the better team ERA (3.28) and WHIP (1.18)
Head to head (2025–2026)
12
Chicago Cubs lead series
3 meetings total
2025-07-13
Chicago Cubs @ New York Yankees
41
CHC
2025-07-12
Chicago Cubs @ New York Yankees
52
CHC
2025-07-11
Chicago Cubs @ New York Yankees
011
NYY
Team picture · 2026
64
WLLWWLWWLW
64
LWLWWLWWLW
NYY
CHC
Team AVG
0.232
0.248
Team OPS
0.724
0.752
Home runs
155
134
Runs scored
508
564
Team ERA
3.28
4.13
HR allowed
106
164

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