Chicago White Sox 3, St. Louis Cardinals 7
Final score, pitching lines and standings context.
| Pitcher | Team | Role | IP | H | ER | BB | K | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Kay | CWS | StarterLoss | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 67 |
| Matthew Liberatore | STL | Starter | 4.1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 72 |
| Gordon Graceffo | STL | ReliefWin | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationPregame contextStarting pitchers
At first glance, this looks like a game tilted toward Chicago. The White Sox bring the better record at 75-71, sit in first place in the AL Central, and hold mo
At first glance, this looks like a game tilted toward Chicago. The White Sox bring the better record at 75-71, sit in first place in the AL Central, and hold modest but clear season-long advantages in run production and power. They’ve scored 4.69 runs per game to St. Louis’ 4.54, and their .722 OPS and .405 slugging percentage both top the Cardinals’ marks.
But the more interesting part of Friday’s matchup at Busch Stadium is how much the recent numbers pull in the other direction.
St. Louis has gone 4-6 over its last 10 games, which is hardly a dominant stretch, yet the Cardinals have scored 6.20 runs per game in that span. Chicago, despite the stronger overall season, is 3-7 over its last 10 and has averaged just 3.30 runs. That contrast creates some tension in the matchup: the White Sox have been the better offensive club over the long haul, but the Cardinals have been the much more productive one lately.
The probable starting pitchers add another layer because their profiles are not cleanly one-sided. Chicago’s Anthony Kay has the better ERA (4.47 to 5.57), the better WHIP (1.36 to 1.47), and the stronger home-run rate (1.28 HR/9 to 1.62) compared with St. Louis left-hander Matthew Liberatore. If the question is who has done a better job limiting damage this season, the numbers lean Kay.
Yet Liberatore’s case is stronger in the underlying indicators. His 4.52 FIP is lower than Kay’s 4.84, and he misses more bats with a 9.3 K/9 versus 7.4. Their walk rates are nearly identical at 3.2 per nine. In other words, Kay has the tidier results, while Liberatore brings the better strikeout profile.
Neither probable starter has worked deep into games consistently. Kay’s quality-start rate is 22 percent, Liberatore’s 21 percent. That puts some extra weight on the late innings, where Chicago again has a slight statistical edge. The White Sox bullpen owns a 3.95 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and 8.3 K/9, all a bit better than the Cardinals’ relief numbers.
So the central question is whether this game follows the broader season form or the much shorter recent sample. Chicago arrives with the stronger overall profile, but St. Louis has been scoring in a way that makes this matchup less straightforward than the standings alone would suggest.
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.