Los Angeles Angels 3, Washington Nationals 4
Final score, pitching lines and standings context.
| Pitcher | Team | Role | IP | H | ER | BB | K | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | LAA | Starter | 4.0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 88 |
| Samy Natera Jr. | LAA | ReliefLoss | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 29 |
| Cade Cavalli | WSH | Starter | 6.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 96 |
| Clayton Beeter | WSH | ReliefWin | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
| Erik Tolman | WSH | ReliefSave | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationPregame contextStarting pitchers
With lineups still unconfirmed, the clearest pregame advantage Friday at Nationals Park sits on the mound
With lineups still unconfirmed, the clearest pregame advantage Friday at Nationals Park sits on the mound.
Washington is set to send probable starter Cade Cavalli, and his numbers give the Nationals the strongest single edge in this matchup. Across 30 starts and 158.2 innings, Cavalli owns a 3.12 ERA, 3.29 FIP and 1.18 WHIP, while striking out 10.49 batters per nine. He also leads this pitching comparison in every major category provided: lower ERA, FIP, WHIP, walk rate and home-run rate, plus a 57 percent quality-start rate.
That is a very different profile from the one the Angels have gotten from probable starter Yusei Kikuchi. In 10 starts covering 49 innings, Kikuchi has a 4.96 ERA, 4.24 FIP and 1.47 WHIP, with a 30 percent quality-start rate. His strikeout rate is still solid at 9.0 per nine, but Washington’s starter has been better at limiting baserunners and damage.
If the game is decided strictly by season-long starting pitching and offense, the Nationals have a pretty clear case. They have the better record at 67-81, compared with the Angels at 56-90, and Washington has been the more productive lineup by every supplied rate stat: 5.11 runs per game to 4.05, a .247 average to .235, and a .750 OPS to .682. The gap is especially noticeable in slugging, where the Nationals hold a .054 advantage.
But this is not a spotless setup for Washington.
The Nationals enter on a 2-8 run over their last 10 games, and their offense has cooled to 3.80 runs per game in that stretch. Los Angeles has not exactly surged at 4-6 over its last 10, yet the Angels have scored the same 3.80 runs per game in that window, effectively flattening what has been a season-long offensive disparity.
Then there is the bullpen contrast, which leans the other way. Washington’s relievers carry a 5.31 ERA and 1.48 WHIP, while the Angels’ bullpen sits at 4.06 and 1.30, with a slightly better strikeout rate as well. That means the Nationals’ biggest advantage is strongest early, with Cavalli on the mound, while Los Angeles has the statistical relief edge if the game tightens in the middle or late innings.
So the shape of this matchup is fairly straightforward: Washington brings the better season profile and the better probable starter, but recent results and the bullpen numbers keep the Angels from looking overmatched.
- With lineups still unconfirmed, the clearest pregame advantage Friday at Nationals Park sits on the mound.
- Washington is set to send probable starter Cade Cavalli, and his numbers give the Nationals the strongest single edge in this matchup.
- Across 30 starts and 158.2 innings, Cavalli owns a 3.12 ERA, 3.29 FIP and 1.18 WHIP, while striking out 10.49 batters per nine.
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.