INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / NL East

Chicago Cubs 6, Miami Marlins 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

4:10 PM ET · loanDepot parkGame-day snapshot Sep 6, 4:35 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 20, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score52
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 52
6
6–5
FINAL · 9 innings
Miami Marlins
80–82 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 43
5
T-Score43
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Javier AssadCHC
Starter
4.2335388
Ryan RolisonCHC
ReliefWin
0.210018
Ryan ZeferjahnCHC
ReliefSave
1.2001119
Ryan GustoMIA
StarterLoss
4.210525100
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
CHCChicago Cubs0031110006——
MIAMiami Marlins0002201005——
Top hitters
Griffin Conine1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 3 BB
Michael Conforto2-for-3 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Kyle Stowers2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI · 1 BB
Ian Happ2-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Nico Hoerner3-for-5 · 1 RBI

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
BullpenMarlinsMiami has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formCubsChicago has won 4 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
PowerCubsChicago has 200 home runs this season, 55 more than Miami.
WeatherModerate impactA 9 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

CHC
Javier Assad RHP
Javier Assad
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.48
63rd
WHIP
1.14
45th
K/9
5.93
210th
BB/9
2.66
59th
P-Score49i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.53
171st
OPS/R
–
IP
88.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.38
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
MIA
Ryan Gusto RHP
Ryan Gusto
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.23
109th
WHIP
1.41
169th
K/9
7.71
139th
BB/9
2.74
86th
P-Score44i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.12
98th
OPS/R
–
IP
72.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.09
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
How the starters differ
·Assad allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.14 WHIP compared with 1.41.
·Gusto owns a 7.7 K/9 compared with Assad's 5.9.
·Gusto allows the lower home-run rate: 1.12 vs 1.53 per nine.
·Assad enters with a 3.48 ERA compared with Gusto's 4.23.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Assad arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker42%93.4
Four-seam19%93.5
Cutter13%88.8
Changeup8%86.0
Curveball7%77.7
Sweeper7%81.6
Slider4%85.3
Gusto arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam29%94.7
Changeup14%87.2
Sweeper13%81.7
Cutter12%89.3
Sinker12%93.1
Slider12%85.4
Curveball9%78.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cubs vs RHP (Ryan Gusto)
3rd
in MLB
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Marlins vs RHP (Javier Assad)
7th
in MLB
0.743OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs RHP Ryan Gusto
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Gusto (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF81.94245.9730-for-2Very small sample
2Seiya SuzukiRRF75.84126.7971-for-2Very small sample
3Michael BuschL1B65.74520.7361-for-2Very small sample
4Alex BregmanR3B73.81928.7990-for-1Very small sample
5Ian HappSLF64.73824.8160-for-2Very small sample
6Nico HoernerR2B48.6668.6650-for-2Very small sample
7Pedro RamírezS2B52.7236.662No MLB historyNo history
8Matt ShawRRF50.7375.6401-for-2Very small sample
9Miguel AmayaRC49.7176.7011-for-1Very small sample
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .973 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample81H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .797 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample75H-Score3Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .736 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample65H-Score4Alex Bregman 3B · R.265 / .819 · 28 HRvs hand .799 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample73H-Score5Ian Happ LF · S.218 / .738 · 24 HRvs hand .816 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample64H-Score6Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .665 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample48H-Score7Pedro Ramírez 2B · S.261 / .723 · 6 HRvs hand .662 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score8Matt Shaw RF · R.237 / .737 · 5 HRvs hand .640 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample50H-Score9Miguel Amaya C · R.237 / .717 · 6 HRvs hand .701 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample49H-Score
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Javier Assad
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Assad (BvP)
1Kyle StowersL1B69.79021.8210-for-2Very small sample
2Heriberto HernándezRLF70.75525.7330-for-1Very small sample
3Griffin ConineLRF69.84619.922No MLB historyNo history
4Otto LopezRSS67.78611.7650-for-3Very small sample
5Jakob MarseeLCF52.70711.721No MLB historyNo history
6Agustín RamírezRDH43.6725.625No MLB historyNo history
7Esteury RuizRRF40.6996.650No MLB historyNo history
8Jared SernaR2B—.6020.884No MLB historyNo history
9Javier SanojaR3B60.79111.7531-for-2Very small sample
1Kyle Stowers 1B · L.239 / .790 · 21 HRvs hand .821 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample69H-Score2Heriberto Hernández LF · R.228 / .755 · 25 HRvs hand .733 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample70H-Score3Griffin Conine RF · L.264 / .846 · 19 HRvs hand .922 · No MLB history · No history69H-Score4Otto Lopez SS · R.305 / .786 · 11 HRvs hand .765 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample67H-Score5Jakob Marsee CF · L.231 / .707 · 11 HRvs hand .721 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score6Agustín Ramírez DH · R.235 / .672 · 5 HRvs hand .625 · No MLB history · No history43H-Score7Esteury Ruiz RF · R.216 / .699 · 6 HRvs hand .650 · No MLB history · No history40H-Score8Jared Serna 2B · R.214 / .602 · 0 HRvs hand .884 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Javier Sanoja 3B · R.295 / .791 · 11 HRvs hand .753 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample60H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCHCCHC·MIAMIA
AVG.251 6th.249 7th
OPS.767 1st.726 10th
Home runs220 3rd168 23rd
Runs850 1st715 18th
OBP.339 2nd.326 6th
SLG.428 1st.400 17th
PitchingCHCCHC·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.12vs4.09
CHCMIA
WHIP1.26vs1.28
CHCMIA
K/97.8vs8.3
CHCMIA
HR Allowed231vs171
CHCMIA
BullpenCHCCHC·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.35vs3.79
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.32vs1.24
no league rank
Saves36vs35
CHCMIA
ResultsCHCCHC·MIAMIA
+4801st
Run differential
+33916th
89–73 Record80–82
4–6 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Chicago Cubs (4–6)
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
Miami Marlins (4–6)
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
4—2
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Javier Assad (3.48 ERA, 6–1) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Ryan Gusto (4.23 ERA, 1–3) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:10 PM ET at loanDepot park.
Where is the game being played?+
loanDepot park, home of the Miami Marlins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Cubs and Marlins performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Marlins 2–4 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Javier Assad is at 49; Ryan Gusto is at 44. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.