Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (2026-08-13). Payton Tolle vs Max Scherzer at Rogers Centre.

Starters — Tolle has a 3.20 ERA and 1.10 WHIP over 107 innings, with a strong 10.43 K/9, 2.44 BB/9, and 1.09 HR/9. His last three starts were sharp: 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 14 K, 0 BB; 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 2 BB; and 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 1 BB. The trend is down, and the recent strikeout form stands out. Scherzer carries a 7.25 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 36 innings, with 6.75 K/9, 3.75 BB/9, and a high 2.75 HR/9. His last three starts were 5.1 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, 0 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 1 BB; and 2.2 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 3 BB. The trend is also down, with better recent run prevention than his full-season line suggests.

Teams — Boston enters with a .721 OPS, 531 runs, a .248 average, and a 3.51 team ERA with a 1.23 WHIP. The Red Sox are 5-5 over their last 10 games. Toronto has a .681 OPS, 482 runs, a .243 average, and a 3.98 team ERA with a 1.32 WHIP. The Blue Jays are 7-3 over their last 10, which adds some current-form support even though their season-long offensive numbers trail Boston’s. On the broader profile, Boston has been the better run-scoring club and has the cleaner pitching indicators, while Toronto’s recent form is stronger.