New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies
↓ ERA trending down lately
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies (2026-07-19). Nolan McLean vs Alan Rangel at Citizens Bank Park.
Starters — McLean brings a 3.52 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 107.1 innings with strong bat-missing numbers at 10.48 K/9. His 3.27 BB/9 is manageable, and his 0.84 HR/9 shows solid damage control. Over his last three starts, he has worked 6.0 innings each time and allowed 0, 2, and 0 earned runs with 19 strikeouts against 5 walks, pointing to a clear downward ERA trend. Rangel has a 4.19 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, and 19.1 innings, with a comparable 10.24 K/9 but shakier command at 4.19 BB/9 and more home-run risk at 1.40 HR/9. In his last three starts, he logged 3.1, 4.0, and 4.0 innings, allowing 3, 0, and 4 earned runs with 13 strikeouts and 9 walks. His trend is also listed down, but the workload remains short and the traffic on base is notable.
Teams — The Mets enter with a .682 OPS, 403 runs scored, and a .232 team average. Their pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, and they are 5-5 over the last 10 games. Philadelphia has been slightly better offensively with a .702 OPS, 431 runs, and a .236 average. The Phillies’ staff owns a 4.20 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, and they are also 5-5 in their last 10. On the full-season numbers, the Phillies hold a modest edge at the plate, while the team pitching profiles are nearly identical.
A.J. Ewing, Juan Soto, Bo Bichette, and Francisco Lindor have all had success in limited looks against Alan Rangel. Ewing is 1-for-2 with a 1.000 OPS, Soto is 1-for-1 with a 2.000 OPS, Bichette is 1-for-2 with a 1.000 OPS, and Lindor is 1-for-2 with a 2.000 OPS. Carson Benge is hitless in 2 at-bats with a 0.000 OPS, Jared Young is hitless in 1 at-bat with a 0.500 OPS, and Brett Baty is hitless in 2 at-bats with a 0.000 OPS. Marcus Semien and Luis Torrens have no MLB history vs that pitcher.
Alec Bohm has the best track record among the home hitters against Nolan McLean, going 2-for-3 with a 1.334 OPS. Bryce Harper is 1-for-6 with a 0.334 OPS, while Bryson Stott is 1-for-5 with a 0.400 OPS. Trea Turner is hitless in 3 at-bats with a 0.000 OPS, Kyle Schwarber is hitless in 5 at-bats with a 0.167 OPS, and J.T. Realmuto is hitless in 5 at-bats with a 0.167 OPS. Brandon Marsh, Gabriel Rincones Jr., and Justin Crawford have no MLB history vs that pitcher.
The away side brings more favorable prior results into this matchup, even if the sample is small. The home side has more familiarity overall, but most of that history against McLean has been limited production outside of Bohm.