Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros
Houston Astros
↑ ERA trending up lately
Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros (2026-07-19). Brandon Young vs Hunter Brown at Daikin Park.
Starters — Brandon Young has a 3.42 ERA and 1.35 WHIP across 84.1 innings, with 7.15 K/9, 3.31 BB/9, and 0.96 HR/9. Over his last three starts, he has allowed 9 earned runs in 17 innings with 18 strikeouts and 6 walks, including a 7-inning, 3-earned-run outing last time out. His listed trend is up, and the profile points to decent run prevention with manageable home-run damage. Hunter Brown has a 3.57 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 35.1 innings, with a stronger 9.93 K/9 but a high 5.6 BB/9 and 1.27 HR/9. In his last three starts, he has given up 11 earned runs in 16 innings with 11 strikeouts and 11 walks. His trend is also up, but the recent walk rate remains a key volatility factor.
Teams — Baltimore enters with a .717 OPS, 454 runs scored, a .237 team average, and a pitching staff carrying a 4.23 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. The Orioles are 7-3 over their last 10, which supports the idea of a lineup and staff currently playing cleaner baseball than their full-season baseline. Houston has a slightly better .726 OPS, 453 runs scored, and a .241 team average, but the overall pitching numbers are weaker with a 4.75 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. The Astros are 4-6 in their last 10, so despite comparable offensive output, their recent form has been less stable, especially on the run-prevention side.
Baltimore has a few hitters with encouraging history against Hunter Brown, led by Taylor Ward, who is 3-for-3 with a 2.333 OPS. Colton Cowser is 1-for-3 with a 1.666 OPS, while Leody Taveras has the largest sample at 2-for-12 in 13 PA with a .487 OPS. Pete Alonso is hitless at 0-for-5 in 6 PA with a .167 OPS, and Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday are also hitless, with Henderson 0-for-1 and Holliday 0-for-2. Dylan Beavers, Samuel Basallo, and Coby Mayo have no MLB history vs Brown.
Houston shows more established success against Brandon Young at the top of the order. Yordan Alvarez is 2-for-2 in 3 PA with a 3.500 OPS, Isaac Paredes is 2-for-3 with a 1.334 OPS, and Yainer Diaz is 2-for-9 with a .778 OPS. Jose Altuve is hitless at 0-for-5 in 6 PA with a .167 OPS, while Cam Smith is 0-for-2 with a .000 OPS. LaMonte Wade Jr., Lucas Spence, Raynel Delgado, and Nick Allen have no MLB history vs Young.
The Astros appear to have the more familiar and more productive group against the opposing starter, with multiple hitters showing strong prior results. Baltimore has some standout success from Ward, but more of that lineup either has limited exposure or no history against Brown.