Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
↓ ERA trending down lately
No prior plate appearances vs this starter in our data.
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (2026-07-19). Shane McClanahan vs Sonny Gray at Fenway Park.
Starters — McClanahan enters with a 2.83 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and 86 innings. He is striking out 8.58 per nine with 2.93 walks per nine and 0.63 home runs allowed per nine. Over his last three starts, he has worked 18.1 innings with 2 earned runs allowed, 13 strikeouts, and 1 walk, including back-to-back scoreless outings. His ERA trend is down. Gray has a 2.54 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 95.2 innings. He is posting 8.00 strikeouts per nine, 2.26 walks per nine, and 0.94 home runs allowed per nine. In his last three starts, he has covered 19.1 innings with 2 earned runs allowed, 19 strikeouts, and 4 walks. His ERA trend is also down.
Teams — Tampa Bay brings a .731 OPS, 434 runs, and a .257 team average. The Rays pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, but the club is 4-6 over its last 10 games. Boston has a .709 OPS, 407 runs, and a .244 team average. The Red Sox staff owns a 3.56 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, and the team comes in on a 10-0 run over its last 10 games. Tampa Bay has been the more productive offense by OPS and total runs, while Boston has paired slightly better run prevention with strong recent form.
Tampa Bay has a few hitters with encouraging history against Sonny Gray, led by Yandy Díaz, who is 3-for-3 with a 2.333 OPS. Chandler Simpson has also handled Gray well, going 2-for-3 with a 1.667 OPS. Jonathan Aranda is hitless in his limited look, with a 0-for-1 in 2 PA summary and a .500 OPS, while Junior Caminero is 0-for-2 in 3 PA with a .333 OPS. Cedric Mullins, Taylor Walls, Victor Mesa Jr., Richie Palacios, and Hunter Feduccia round out a group in which several hitters either have no success yet or no MLB history versus Gray.
Boston has much less established success against Shane McClanahan. Connor Wong is 0-for-4 with a .000 OPS, Willson Contreras is 0-for-3 with a .000 OPS, and Jahmai Jones and Romy Gonzalez are each 0-for-2 with a .000 OPS. Ceddanne Rafaela, Wilyer Abreu, Caleb Durbin, Andruw Monasterio, and Jarren Duran have no MLB history vs that pitcher.
The edge in familiarity goes to Tampa Bay, which at least brings two hitters with strong prior results against the opposing starter. Boston’s lineup is mostly either new to McClanahan or still looking for its first hit off him.