INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL Central

Milwaukee Brewers 4, Pittsburgh Pirates 7

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

12:35 PM ET · PNC ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 19, 2:02 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score59
Milwaukee Brewers
103–59 · 1st NL Central · T-Score 59
4
4–7
FINAL · 9 innings
Pittsburgh Pirates
82–80 · 3rd NL Central · T-Score 43
7
T-Score43
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Kyle HarrisonMIL
StarterLoss
1.2442250
Wilber DotelPIT
Starter
2.0311230
Khristian CurtisPIT
ReliefWin
3.1113361
Mason MontgomeryPIT
ReliefSave
1.1002229
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
MILMilwaukee Brewers010001020491
PITPittsburgh Pirates050000020771
Top hitters
Henry Davis1-for-2 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Bo Naylor1-for-3 · 1 HR · 2 RBI · 1 BB
Konnor Griffin1-for-4 · 2 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB
Oneil Cruz1-for-5 · 2 RBI · 1 R
Sal Frelick2-for-3 · 1 RBI

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBrewersHarrison holds a modest edge in P-Score and K/9, while the ERA gap is small.
Offense vs handBrewersMilwaukee owns a .759 OPS vs RHP, 2th in MLB; Pittsburgh ranks 17th vs LHP.
BullpenBrewersMilwaukee owns a 3.10 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Pittsburgh's 3.91.
Recent formBrewersMilwaukee has been the better recent team, at 7–3 over the last 10.
PowerPiratesPittsburgh has 174 home runs this season, 28 more than Milwaukee.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

MIL
Kyle Harrison LHP
Kyle Harrison
Milwaukee Brewers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.98
118th
WHIP
1.31
136th
K/9
10.90
12th
BB/9
2.68
80th
P-Score56i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.63
176th
OPS/R
–
IP
110.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.83
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
PIT
Wilber Dotel RHP
Wilber Dotel
Pittsburgh Pirates
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.84
WHIP
1.36
K/9
9.17
BB/9
3.57
FIP
–
HR/9
0.51
OPS/R
–
IP
35.1
Last 5 starts
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
2
How the starters differ
·Harrison strikes out 1.7 more batters per nine innings.
·Dotel allows the lower home-run rate: 0.51 vs 1.63 per nine.
·Harrison enters with a 3.98 ERA compared with Dotel's 4.84.
·Harrison averages 2.8 more innings per start.

Milwaukee Has a Sweep in Sight

Milwaukee has already secured the series in Pittsburgh, but Thursday offers a chance to finish the job. The Brewers won 5–1 in the opener and survived a 5–4 game Wednesday, extending their own winning streak to two while Pittsburgh has dropped two straight. Kyle Harrison brings swing-and-miss stuff with 10.9 strikeouts per nine, though his 3.98 ERA and 4.03 FIP leave room for the Pirates to attack. Wilber Dotel is harder to read: his 4.84 ERA is unimpressive, but a 2.98 FIP and 0.50 HR/9 point to better work underneath. Milwaukee still owns the cleaner overall profile, with the stronger record, offense and bullpen. Pittsburgh’s task is to keep the finale close enough for those season-long advantages not to decide it early.

Written by PitcherStat ·

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Harrison arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam57%94.7
Slurve32%82.0
Changeup9%85.8
Sinker2%94.3
Dotel arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam47%98.4
Cutter22%92.4
Slider22%88.0
Splitter6%87.4
Changeup2%92.4
Sinker0%98.7

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Brewers vs RHP (Wilber Dotel)
2nd
in MLB
0.759OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Pirates vs LHP (Kyle Harrison)
17th
in MLB
0.701OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 17, 11:05 AM ET
MILMIL
.726
−14 ptsOPS edge
PITPIT
.740

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Milwaukee BrewersOfficial lineupvs RHP Wilber Dotel
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Dotel (BvP)
1Brice TurangL2B76.81621.9011-for-1Very small sample
2Luis LaraSRF42.6361.6621-for-1Very small sample
3Jackson ChourioRLF79.83825.7780-for-1Very small sample
4Andrew VaughnR1B66.8346.764No MLB historyNo history
5Gary SánchezRC63.77112.747No MLB historyNo history
6Joey OrtizRSS58.7309.7681-for-1Very small sample
7Sal FrelickLRF38.6144.640No MLB historyNo history
8Bo NaylorLC—.48931.262No MLB historyNo history
9David HamiltonL3B40.6504.6680-for-2Very small sample
1Brice Turang 2B · L.268 / .816 · 21 HRvs hand .901 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample76H-Score2Luis Lara RF · S.246 / .636 · 1 HRvs hand .662 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample42H-Score3Jackson Chourio LF · R.291 / .838 · 25 HRvs hand .778 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample79H-Score4Andrew Vaughn 1B · R.306 / .834 · 6 HRvs hand .764 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score5Gary Sánchez C · R.209 / .771 · 12 HRvs hand .747 · No MLB history · No history63H-Score6Joey Ortiz SS · R.270 / .730 · 9 HRvs hand .768 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample58H-Score7Sal Frelick RF · L.230 / .614 · 4 HRvs hand .640 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score8Bo Naylor C · L.154 / .489 · 3 HRvs hand 1.262 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9David Hamilton 3B · L.245 / .650 · 4 HRvs hand .668 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample40H-Score
Pittsburgh PiratesOfficial lineupvs LHP Kyle Harrison
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Harrison (BvP)
1Konnor GriffinRSS48.7286.8220-for-2Very small sample
2Oneil CruzLCF74.85420.8490-for-2Very small sample
3Bryan ReynoldsSLF74.78917.8240-for-3Very small sample
4Rafael Flores Jr.RC66.85811.809No MLB historyNo history
5Brandon LoweL2B73.82435.6121-for-3Very small sample
6Nick GonzalesR3B52.7556.6530-for-2Very small sample
7Ronny SimonSRF—.6481.364No MLB historyNo history
8Jared TrioloRSS37.6093.6881-for-2Very small sample
9Henry DavisRC47.58510.3700-for-2Very small sample
1Konnor Griffin SS · R.272 / .728 · 6 HRvs hand .822 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample48H-Score2Oneil Cruz CF · L.280 / .854 · 20 HRvs hand .849 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample74H-Score3Bryan Reynolds LF · S.261 / .789 · 17 HRvs hand .824 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample74H-Score4Rafael Flores Jr. C · R.264 / .858 · 11 HRvs hand .809 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score5Brandon Lowe 2B · L.260 / .824 · 35 HRvs hand .612 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample73H-Score6Nick Gonzales 3B · R.303 / .755 · 6 HRvs hand .653 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample52H-Score7Ronny Simon RF · S.254 / .648 · 1 HRvs hand .364 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Jared Triolo SS · R.238 / .609 · 3 HRvs hand .688 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample37H-Score9Henry Davis C · R.172 / .585 · 10 HRvs hand .370 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample47H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMILMIL·PITPIT
AVG.258 2nd.253 5th
OPS.744 4th.734 6th
Home runs154 29th186 13th
Runs832 2nd767 6th
OBP.341 1st.330 4th
SLG.403 11th.404 9th
PitchingMILMIL·PITPIT
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.51vs4.14
MILPIT
WHIP1.18vs1.30
MILPIT
K/99.6vs9.3
MILPIT
HR Allowed171vs155
MILPIT
BullpenMILMIL·PITPIT
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.10vs3.91
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.20vs1.29
no league rank
Saves55vs41
MILPIT
ResultsMILMIL·PITPIT
+4842nd
Run differential
+4446th
103–59 Record82–80
7–3 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Milwaukee Brewers (7–3)
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
Pittsburgh Pirates (5–5)
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
10—3
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Kyle Harrison (3.98 ERA, 10–4) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Pirates?+
Wilber Dotel (4.84 ERA, 1–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
12:35 PM ET at PNC Park.
Where is the game being played?+
PNC Park, home of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Brewers and Pirates performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Pirates 3–10 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.