Today · 6:45 PM ETLineup pendingAL Central / AL East

Cleveland Guardians   vs   Boston Red Sox Preview

September 22, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form and weather at Fenway Park.

6:45 PM ET · Fenway ParkStats availableLineups not confirmed
T-Score55
81–75 · 1st AL Central · T-Score 55
First pitch 6:45 PM ET
84–72 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 57
T-Score57
First pitch 6:45 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handSoxBoston has produced the stronger offense against left-handed pitching.
WeatherModerate impactA 5 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.

Starting pitchers

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.57
11th
WHIP
1.04
14th
K/9
9.39
49th
BB/9
2.37
39th
P-Score76i
FIP
3.11
HR/9
0.86
38th
OPS/R
0.568
IP
178.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.79
Road ERA2.21
Last 5 starts
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.02
30th
WHIP
1.07
21st
K/9
10.45
25th
BB/9
2.39
40th
P-Score71i
FIP
3.10
HR/9
0.94
54th
OPS/R
0.618
IP
143.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.55
Road ERA2.50
Last 5 starts
How the starters differ
·Tolle owns a 10.4 K/9 compared with Messick's 9.4.
·Messick enters with a 2.21 road ERA; Tolle owns a 3.55 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricMessickTolleNote
ERA−6174Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.113.10
WAR4.53.7Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Messick arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam41%94.3
Changeup23%85.9
Sinker15%92.7
Curveball9%79.2
Slider6%86.9
Cutter5%90.5
Tolle arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam45%96.1
Sinker23%94.9
Cutter19%88.6
Curveball9%83.0
Changeup3%88.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

27th
in MLB
0.671OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
6th
in MLB
0.746OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Lineups not announced

Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.

Team comparison

ResultsCLECLE·BOSBOS
+21018th
Run differential
+2849th
81–75 Record84–72
Last 10 games
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
00
0 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Guardians?+
Parker Messick is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Payton Tolle is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:45 PM ET at Fenway Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Fenway Park, home of the Boston Red Sox.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Parker Messick is at 76; Payton Tolle is at 71. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.