Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handRaysTampa has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
Team strengthRaysTampa leads 70–51 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.
WeatherLow impactWeather conditions are expected to have little effect on the normal scoring environment.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Seymour strikes out 2.0 more batters per nine innings.
·Lambert allows the lower home-run rate: 0.90 vs 1.70 per nine.
·Seymour walks 1.1 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Lambert enters with a 3.67 ERA compared with Seymour's 4.33.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Lambert | Seymour | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 89 | 103 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.89 | 4.10 | |
| WAR | 2.2 | 1.3 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Lambert arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 31% | 93.9 |
| Changeup | 24% | 86.9 |
| Slider | 12% | 85.6 |
| Cutter | 10% | 91.6 |
| Sinker | 10% | 93.4 |
| Sweeper | 8% | 82.8 |
| Slurve | 5% | 80.2 |
| Curveball | 0% | 77.8 |
Seymour arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Changeup | 29% | 83.4 |
| Four-seam | 27% | 91.4 |
| Sweeper | 20% | 81.6 |
| Sinker | 15% | 90.0 |
| Slider | 6% | 83.2 |
| Curveball | 1% | 72.7 |
| Cutter | 1% | 87.1 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.711OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.755OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page → Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
HOU·
TB+20613th
Run differential
+22311th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Peter Lambert is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Rays?+
Ian Seymour is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
6:10 PM ET at Tropicana Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Tropicana Field, home of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Peter Lambert is at 62; Ian Seymour is at 68. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.