Detroit Tigers 6, Toronto Blue Jays 5
Final score, pitching lines and standings context.
| Pitcher | Team | Role | IP | H | ER | BB | K | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Melton | DET | Starter | 2.2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 76 |
| Tyler Kinley | DET | ReliefWin | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Kenley Jansen | DET | ReliefSave | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| José Soriano | TOR | Starter | 6.1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 90 |
| Louis Varland | TOR | ReliefLoss | 1.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationPregame contextStarting pitchers
Two ERAs That Their Peripherals Don't Support
Toronto is 74-75 and fourth in the AL East; Detroit is 69-79 and fourth in the Central. Both are 6-4 over their last ten, and the Tigers have been the better offense in that window at 5.60 runs per game against 4.80 — consistent with their season edge of 4.50 to 4.08.
The pitching matchup rewards a second look. Troy Melton's 2.42 ERA is the lowest figure in the game, and it beats José Soriano's 3.48 by more than a run, but his 4.06 FIP is actually the worse of the two — Soriano sits at 3.92. Melton holds the real advantages in WHIP (1.05 to 1.28), walk rate (2.5 to 3.9 per nine) and quality-start rate (50% to 38%); Soriano counters with 1.2 more strikeouts per nine and a slightly lower home-run rate. Recent form has been mediocre for both: a 5.14 ERA for Melton and 4.91 for Soriano over five starts, with strikeout rates collapsing to 5.8 and 6.1 per nine respectively. Neither is missing bats right now.
That puts weight on the relief corps, and Toronto's is both better on paper (3.64 to 3.88) and far more taxed — nine arms across 11 innings in three days, the heaviest three-day usage anywhere on this slate. Detroit's pen has thrown 7.2 innings across six. Soriano has at least been going six innings per start lately, which helps. Rogers Centre plays neutral at a chilly 56°F.
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
Lineup strength vs today's starter
Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.
Slight edge: DET