INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL East / NL West

Miami Marlins 7, Arizona Diamondbacks 8

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

9:40 PM ET · Chase FieldGame-day snapshot Sep 16, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 27, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score42
Miami Marlins
80–82 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 42
7
7–8
FINAL · 9 innings
Arizona Diamondbacks
86–76 · 3rd NL West · T-Score 39
8
T-Score39
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Sandy AlcantaraMIA
Starter
5.07426101
Jack RalstonMIA
ReliefLoss
0.111006
Corbin BurnesAZ
Starter
4.2550475
Juan MorilloAZ
ReliefWin
1.0001324
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
MIAMiami Marlins0302002007122
AZArizona Diamondbacks0030100228110
Top hitters
Javier Sanoja2-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI
Corbin Carroll2-for-5 · 1 HR · 3 RBI
Lars Nootbaar3-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Jordan Lawlar2-for-4 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Jakob Marsee3-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handMarlinsMiami has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
BullpenDiamondbacksArizona has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Starter formDiamondbacksBurnes has a 1.71 ERA over his last five starts, while Alcantara is at 5.83.
Recent formDiamondbacksArizona has won 6 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

MIA
Sandy Alcantara RHP
Sandy Alcantara
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.78
88th
WHIP
1.22
83rd
K/9
6.44
194th
BB/9
2.48
51st
P-Score58i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.99
77th
OPS/R
–
IP
200.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.83
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
AZ
Corbin Burnes RHP
Corbin Burnes
Arizona Diamondbacks
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
0.00
WHIP
1.33
K/9
6.00
BB/9
6.00
FIP
–
HR/9
0.00
OPS/R
–
IP
3.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.71
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Burnes enters with a 0.00 ERA compared with Alcantara's 3.78.
·Burnes allows the lower home-run rate: 0.00 vs 0.99 per nine.
·Alcantara walks 3.5 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Burnes has produced a quality start in 75% of outings versus 40%.

Alcantara's Workload Against a Burnes Line the Data Can't Read

Arizona is 79-70 and third in the NL West; Miami is 73-76 and third in the East. The season profiles nearly match — 4.43 runs per game against 4.47, with Miami holding a 20-point OPS edge — but recent form inverts the records completely. The Diamondbacks are 6-4 while scoring only 3.80 runs per game; the Marlins are 3-7 while scoring 5.40.

Corbin Burnes presents a genuine data problem. His season line covers three innings across one start, which the feed flags as unusable and which produces meaningless rate stats. His five-appearance recent sample tells a very different story — a 1.95 ERA with 10.4 strikeouts per nine over 5.2 innings per outing — and the two do not reconcile, so treat anything derived from his season row with caution. Sandy Alcantara is the opposite: 31 starts, 200 innings, a 3.78 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP and quality starts in 68% of his outings, the highest rate today. The concern is his recent work — a 5.83 ERA across five starts with just 4.0 strikeouts per nine, though he still averaged a full six innings.

Both bullpens have been heavily used, seven arms apiece across 7 and 8.1 innings, and they are close in quality at 3.96 and 4.08, with Miami missing more bats. Chase Field plays neutral, with the roof taking the 83°F heat out of play.

Written by PitcherStat ·

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Alcantara arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker26%97.3
Changeup21%90.8
Four-seam18%97.5
Cutter15%89.9
Sweeper9%84.2
Slider7%85.0
Curveball4%82.8
Burnes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Cutter54%92.0
Curveball24%78.1
Changeup11%85.7
Sinker8%93.1
Slider4%85.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Marlins vs RHP (Corbin Burnes)
7th
in MLB
0.743OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Diamondbacks vs RHP (Sandy Alcantara)
26th
in MLB
0.697OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 14, 7:41 PM ET
MIAMIA
.745
+8 ptsOPS edge
AZAZ
.737

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Corbin Burnes
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Burnes (BvP)
1Kyle StowersL1B69.79021.821No MLB historyNo history
2Heriberto HernándezRLF70.75525.733No MLB historyNo history
3Xavier EdwardsS2B54.7316.7382-for-4Very small sample
4Griffin ConineLRF72.84619.922No MLB historyNo history
5Otto LopezRSS67.78611.7650-for-3Very small sample
6Jakob MarseeLCF52.70711.721No MLB historyNo history
7Javier SanojaR3B60.79111.753No MLB historyNo history
8Joe MackLC52.68514.730No MLB historyNo history
9Agustín RamírezRDH40.6725.625No MLB historyNo history
1Kyle Stowers 1B · L.239 / .790 · 21 HRvs hand .821 · No MLB history · No history69H-Score2Heriberto Hernández LF · R.228 / .755 · 25 HRvs hand .733 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score3Xavier Edwards 2B · S.280 / .731 · 6 HRvs hand .738 · 2-for-4 · Very small sample54H-Score4Griffin Conine RF · L.264 / .846 · 19 HRvs hand .922 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score5Otto Lopez SS · R.305 / .786 · 11 HRvs hand .765 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample67H-Score6Jakob Marsee CF · L.231 / .707 · 11 HRvs hand .721 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score7Javier Sanoja 3B · R.295 / .791 · 11 HRvs hand .753 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score8Joe Mack C · L.234 / .685 · 14 HRvs hand .730 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score9Agustín Ramírez DH · R.235 / .672 · 5 HRvs hand .625 · No MLB history · No history40H-Score
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Alcantara (BvP)
1Lars NootbaarLLF63.7218.8002-for-12Small sample
2Ketel MarteS2B70.74822.6871-for-2Very small sample
3Gabriel MorenoRC75.87416.909No MLB historyNo history
4Geraldo PerdomoSSS60.7479.7623-for-9Very small sample
5Corbin CarrollLRF75.79522.7271-for-3Very small sample
6Nolan ArenadoR3B62.80630.7750-for-5Very small sample
7Tim TawaR1B54.69011.704No MLB historyNo history
8Pavin SmithL1B28.5563.5740-for-3Very small sample
9Jordan LawlarRCF52.7796.722No MLB historyNo history
1Lars Nootbaar LF · L.239 / .721 · 8 HRvs hand .800 · 2-for-12 · Small sample63H-Score2Ketel Marte 2B · S.249 / .748 · 22 HRvs hand .687 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample70H-Score3Gabriel Moreno C · R.311 / .874 · 16 HRvs hand .909 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score4Geraldo Perdomo SS · S.262 / .747 · 9 HRvs hand .762 · 3-for-9 · Very small sample60H-Score5Corbin Carroll RF · L.239 / .795 · 22 HRvs hand .727 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample75H-Score6Nolan Arenado 3B · R.255 / .806 · 30 HRvs hand .775 · 0-for-5 · Very small sample62H-Score7Tim Tawa 1B · R.240 / .690 · 11 HRvs hand .704 · No MLB history · No history54H-Score8Pavin Smith 1B · L.183 / .556 · 3 HRvs hand .574 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample28H-Score9Jordan Lawlar CF · R.258 / .779 · 6 HRvs hand .722 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMIAMIA·AZAZ
AVG.249 7th.246 12th
OPS.726 9th.720 14th
Home runs168 23rd166 25th
Runs715 18th739 11th
OBP.326 6th.318 13th
SLG.400 16th.402 14th
PitchingMIAMIA·AZAZ
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.09vs4.18
MIAAZ
WHIP1.28vs1.28
MIAAZ
K/98.3vs7.1
MIAAZ
HR Allowed171vs186
MIAAZ
BullpenMIAMIA·AZAZ
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.30vs3.54
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.32vs1.19
no league rank
Saves35vs38
MIAAZ
ResultsMIAMIA·AZAZ
+35217th
Run differential
+38512th
80–82 Record86–76
3–7 Last 106–4
Last 10 games
Miami Marlins (3–7)
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
Arizona Diamondbacks (6–4)
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Sandy Alcantara (3.78 ERA, 13–10) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Diamondbacks?+
Corbin Burnes (0.00 ERA, 0–0) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
9:40 PM ET at Chase Field.
Where is the game being played?+
Chase Field, home of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Marlins and Diamondbacks performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Diamondbacks 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.