INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / AL East

Chicago Cubs 0, Boston Red Sox 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

5:35 PM ET · Fenway ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 27, 2:00 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 8, 5:01 AM ET
T-Score64
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 64
0
0–2
FINAL · 9 innings
Boston Red Sox
87–75 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 54
2
T-Score54
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
David PetersonCHC
Starter
5.0302691
Javier AssadCHC
ReliefLoss
2.1011335
Brayan BelloBOS
Starter
4.0401258
Jedixson PaezBOS
ReliefWin
5.0300577
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
CHCChicago Cubs000000000070
BOSBoston Red Sox000000020240
Top hitters
Wilyer Abreu1-for-4 · 2 RBI
Seiya Suzuki2-for-3 · 1 BB
Michael Busch2-for-4
Nico Hoerner2-for-4
Isiah Kiner-Falefa1-for-1 · 1 R · 2 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxBello holds a modest edge in P-Score and WHIP, while the ERA gap is small.
LineupSoxBoston's official lineup includes 5 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenSoxBoston owns a 3.04 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Chicago's 3.94.
Recent formCubsChicago has been the better recent team, at 5–5 over the last 10.
PowerCubsChicago has 218 home runs this season, 56 more than Boston.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

CHC
David Peterson LHP
David Peterson
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.96
155th
WHIP
1.51
194th
K/9
8.23
104th
BB/9
3.96
175th
P-Score50i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.94
53rd
OPS/R
–
IP
143.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.30
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
BOS
Brayan Bello RHP
Brayan Bello
Boston Red Sox
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.49
126th
WHIP
1.37
148th
K/9
7.21
159th
BB/9
2.80
76th
P-Score45i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.96
59th
OPS/R
–
IP
112.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.45
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Peterson strikes out 1.0 more batters per nine innings.
·Bello allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.37 WHIP compared with 1.51.
·Peterson has produced a quality start in 50% of outings versus 33%.
·Peterson carries a 3.89 road ERA, compared with Bello's 3.91 mark at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Peterson arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker30%92.2
Four-seam25%92.5
Slider22%86.4
Changeup13%85.7
Curveball11%80.5
Bello arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker39%95.3
Changeup20%89.0
Cutter15%87.5
Sweeper14%86.0
Four-seam9%95.7
Curveball3%83.4

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cubs vs RHP (Brayan Bello)
3rd
in MLB
0.757OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Sox vs LHP (David Peterson)
7th
in MLB
0.735OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 25, 4:35 PM ET
CHCCHC
.766
+73 ptsOPS edge
BOSBOS
.693

Clear edge: CHC

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs RHP Brayan Bello
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Bello (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF84.94245.9731-for-3Very small sample
2Seiya SuzukiRRF78.84126.7970-for-6Very small sample
3Michael BuschL1B68.74520.7362-for-3Very small sample
4Michael ConfortoLDH71.80015.7740-for-2Very small sample
5Ian HappSLF67.73824.8160-for-3Very small sample
6Nico HoernerR2B49.6668.6651-for-3Very small sample
7Pedro RamírezS2B55.7236.662No MLB historyNo history
8Carson KellyRC59.71210.6381-for-3Very small sample
9Matt ShawRRF52.7375.640No MLB historyNo history
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .973 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample84H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .797 · 0-for-6 · Very small sample78H-Score3Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .736 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample68H-Score4Michael Conforto DH · L.240 / .800 · 15 HRvs hand .774 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample71H-Score5Ian Happ LF · S.218 / .738 · 24 HRvs hand .816 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample67H-Score6Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .665 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample49H-Score7Pedro Ramírez 2B · S.261 / .723 · 6 HRvs hand .662 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score8Carson Kelly C · R.258 / .712 · 10 HRvs hand .638 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample59H-Score9Matt Shaw RF · R.237 / .737 · 5 HRvs hand .640 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score
Boston Red SoxOfficial lineupvs LHP David Peterson
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Peterson (BvP)
1Roman AnthonyLLF61.7355.525No MLB historyNo history
2Jahmai JonesRDH50.6676.7870-for-2Very small sample
3Wilyer AbreuLRF76.77324.895No MLB historyNo history
4Trevor StoryRSS33.6225.5721-for-3Very small sample
5Nick SogardS2B53.7275.9201-for-2Very small sample
6Andruw MonasterioRSS47.6666.8132-for-5Very small sample
7Jarren DuranLLF51.62720.6411-for-1Very small sample
8Isiah Kiner-FalefaR2B38.6332.4933-for-5Very small sample
9Connor WongRC39.6564.725No MLB historyNo history
1Roman Anthony LF · L.245 / .735 · 5 HRvs hand .525 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score2Jahmai Jones DH · R.206 / .667 · 6 HRvs hand .787 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample50H-Score3Wilyer Abreu RF · L.248 / .773 · 24 HRvs hand .895 · No MLB history · No history76H-Score4Trevor Story SS · R.235 / .622 · 5 HRvs hand .572 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample33H-Score5Nick Sogard 2B · S.255 / .727 · 5 HRvs hand .920 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample53H-Score6Andruw Monasterio SS · R.233 / .666 · 6 HRvs hand .813 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample47H-Score7Jarren Duran LF · L.207 / .627 · 20 HRvs hand .641 · 1-for-1 · Very small sample51H-Score8Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B · R.242 / .633 · 2 HRvs hand .493 · 3-for-5 · Very small sample38H-Score9Connor Wong C · R.233 / .656 · 4 HRvs hand .725 · No MLB history · No history39H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCHCCHC·BOSBOS
AVG.251 6th.245 15th
OPS.767 1st.717 18th
Home runs220 3rd163 26th
Runs850 1st689 23rd
OBP.339 2nd.319 11th
SLG.428 1st.398 19th
PitchingCHCCHC·BOSBOS
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.12vs3.54
CHCBOS
WHIP1.26vs1.23
CHCBOS
K/97.8vs8.7
CHCBOS
HR Allowed231vs153
CHCBOS
BullpenCHCCHC·BOSBOS
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.94vs3.04
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.30vs1.17
no league rank
Saves36vs46
CHCBOS
ResultsCHCCHC·BOSBOS
+4422nd
Run differential
+32511th
89–73 Record87–75
5–5 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Chicago Cubs (5–5)
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
Boston Red Sox (4–6)
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—2
4 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cubs?+
David Peterson (4.96 ERA, 9–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Brayan Bello (4.49 ERA, 6–7) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
5:35 PM ET at Fenway Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Fenway Park, home of the Boston Red Sox.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Cubs and Sox performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Sox 2–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
David Peterson is at 50; Brayan Bello is at 45. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.