INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / AL East

Chicago Cubs 3, Boston Red Sox 4

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

1:05 PM ET · Fenway ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 27, 2:00 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score51
Chicago Cubs
89–73 · 2nd NL Central · T-Score 51
3
3–4
FINAL · 9 innings
Boston Red Sox
87–75 · 3rd AL East · T-Score 45
4
T-Score45
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Clay HolmesCHC
Starter
4.1523378
Aaron CivaleCHC
ReliefLoss
2.1311038
Alec GamboaBOS
Starter
2.0431140
Greg WeissertBOS
ReliefWin
1.1002122
Raymond BurgosBOS
ReliefSave
2.0000333
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
CHCChicago Cubs120000000371
BOSBoston Red Sox001020100490
Top hitters
Adley Rutschman2-for-4 · 2 RBI
Miguel Amaya1-for-3 · 2 RBI
Tyrone Taylor1-for-3 · 1 RBI
Connor Wong1-for-1 · 1 RBI
Roman Anthony3-for-3 · 3 R · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherSoxThe starters are close overall, but Gamboa owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handCubsChicago has produced the stronger offense against left-handed pitching.
LineupCubsThe confirmed Chicago order includes 6 hitters with an OPS above .750 against left-handed pitching.
BullpenSoxBoston has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formCubsChicago has won 5 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

CHC
Clay Holmes RHP
Clay Holmes
Chicago Cubs
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.25
38th
WHIP
1.16
68th
K/9
6.96
172nd
BB/9
3.62
156th
P-Score57i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.56
8th
OPS/R
–
IP
97.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
5.08
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
BOS
Alec Gamboa LHP
Alec Gamboa
Boston Red Sox
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
1.16
WHIP
1.06
K/9
6.39
BB/9
2.90
FIP
–
HR/9
0.29
OPS/R
–
IP
31.0
Last 5 starts
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
3
How the starters differ
·Gamboa enters with a 1.16 ERA compared with Holmes's 3.25.
·The WHIP gap favors Gamboa, 1.06 to 1.16.
·Holmes averages 4.4 more innings per start.
·Gamboa allows the lower home-run rate: 0.29 vs 0.56 per nine.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Holmes arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker49%93.1
Sweeper18%81.3
Changeup15%88.0
Cutter10%86.2
Curveball7%81.1
Four-seam1%92.9
Gamboa arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam42%95.5
Slider34%88.5
Sinker21%94.4
Curveball2%81.4
Changeup1%85.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Cubs vs LHP (Alec Gamboa)
1st
in MLB
0.796OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Sox vs RHP (Clay Holmes)
22nd
in MLB
0.711OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 25, 11:05 AM ET
CHCCHC
.769
+51 ptsOPS edge
BOSBOS
.718

Clear edge: CHC

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Chicago CubsOfficial lineupvs LHP Alec Gamboa
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Gamboa (BvP)
1Pete Crow-ArmstrongLCF76.94245.926No MLB historyNo history
2Seiya SuzukiRRF70.84126.974No MLB historyNo history
3Alex BregmanR3B68.81928.891No MLB historyNo history
4Tyrone TaylorRLF57.82711.955No MLB historyNo history
5Nico HoernerR2B46.6668.674No MLB historyNo history
6Matt ShawRRF46.7375.826No MLB historyNo history
7Michael BuschL1B61.74520.733No MLB historyNo history
8Dansby SwansonRSS50.69419.767No MLB historyNo history
9Miguel AmayaRC41.7176.713No MLB historyNo history
1Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L.280 / .942 · 45 HRvs hand .926 · No MLB history · No history76H-Score2Seiya Suzuki RF · R.270 / .841 · 26 HRvs hand .974 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score3Alex Bregman 3B · R.265 / .819 · 28 HRvs hand .891 · No MLB history · No history68H-Score4Tyrone Taylor LF · R.279 / .827 · 11 HRvs hand .955 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score5Nico Hoerner 2B · R.263 / .666 · 8 HRvs hand .674 · No MLB history · No history46H-Score6Matt Shaw RF · R.237 / .737 · 5 HRvs hand .826 · No MLB history · No history46H-Score7Michael Busch 1B · L.242 / .745 · 20 HRvs hand .733 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score8Dansby Swanson SS · R.213 / .694 · 19 HRvs hand .767 · No MLB history · No history50H-Score9Miguel Amaya C · R.237 / .717 · 6 HRvs hand .713 · No MLB history · No history41H-Score
Boston Red SoxOfficial lineupvs RHP Clay Holmes
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Holmes (BvP)
1Roman AnthonyLLF54.7355.817No MLB historyNo history
2Mickey GasperSDH62.82310.902No MLB historyNo history
3Adley RutschmanSC54.74113.7992-for-2Very small sample
4Wilyer AbreuLRF68.77324.7350-for-1Very small sample
5Caleb DurbinR3B48.71013.716No MLB historyNo history
6Nick SogardS2B47.7275.6930-for-2Very small sample
7Jarren DuranLLF45.62720.6330-for-6Very small sample
8Andruw MonasterioRSS38.6666.602No MLB historyNo history
9Isiah Kiner-FalefaR2B34.6332.7060-for-2Very small sample
1Roman Anthony LF · L.245 / .735 · 5 HRvs hand .817 · No MLB history · No history54H-Score2Mickey Gasper DH · S.251 / .823 · 10 HRvs hand .902 · No MLB history · No history62H-Score3Adley Rutschman C · S.242 / .741 · 13 HRvs hand .799 · 2-for-2 · Very small sample54H-Score4Wilyer Abreu RF · L.248 / .773 · 24 HRvs hand .735 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample68H-Score5Caleb Durbin 3B · R.248 / .710 · 13 HRvs hand .716 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score6Nick Sogard 2B · S.255 / .727 · 5 HRvs hand .693 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample47H-Score7Jarren Duran LF · L.207 / .627 · 20 HRvs hand .633 · 0-for-6 · Very small sample45H-Score8Andruw Monasterio SS · R.233 / .666 · 6 HRvs hand .602 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score9Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B · R.242 / .633 · 2 HRvs hand .706 · 0-for-2 · Very small sample34H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCHCCHC·BOSBOS
AVG.251 6th.245 14th
OPS.767 1st.717 19th
Home runs220 3rd163 26th
Runs850 1st689 23rd
OBP.339 2nd.319 12th
SLG.428 1st.398 20th
PitchingCHCCHC·BOSBOS
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.12vs3.54
CHCBOS
WHIP1.26vs1.23
CHCBOS
K/97.8vs8.7
CHCBOS
HR Allowed231vs153
CHCBOS
BullpenCHCCHC·BOSBOS
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.94vs3.48
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.30vs1.22
no league rank
Saves36vs46
CHCBOS
ResultsCHCCHC·BOSBOS
+5081st
Run differential
+37915th
89–73 Record87–75
5–5 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Chicago Cubs (5–5)
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
Boston Red Sox (4–6)
L
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—1
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Cubs?+
Clay Holmes (3.25 ERA, 6–8) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Sox?+
Alec Gamboa (1.16 ERA, 1–0) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:05 PM ET at Fenway Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Fenway Park, home of the Boston Red Sox.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Cubs and Sox performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Sox 1–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.