INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
NYLATYOBERLON
WED · SEP 9, 2026
SEP 9
FinalFinal lineupsNL East / AL East

Atlanta Braves   vs   Baltimore Orioles Preview

July 26, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

1:35 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden YardsStats updated Jul 26, 2:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jul 26, 1:12 PM ET
T-Score81
Atlanta Braves
85–60 · 1st NL East · T-Score 81
3
3–2
FINAL
Baltimore Orioles
70–76 · 5th AL East · T-Score 48
2
T-Score48
FINALATL −107 · BAL −101 · Total 9
ATL −107 · BAL −101 · Total 9Last update Jul 26, 1:12 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherOriolesBaz owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handBravesAtlanta owns a .731 OPS vs RHP, 11th in MLB; Baltimore ranks 21th vs RHP.
LineupBravesAtlanta's official lineup includes 6 left-handed bats against the opposing starter.
BullpenBravesAtlanta owns a 3.41 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Baltimore's 3.95.
Team strengthBravesAtlanta leads 81–48 in T-Score, driven by stronger offense.

Starting pitchers

ATL
Reynaldo López RHP
Reynaldo López
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.64
72nd
WHIP
1.34
129th
K/9
8.29
102nd
BB/9
3.64
147th
P-Score52i
FIP
4.32
HR/9
1.26
128th
OPS/R
0.713
IP
71.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.79
Road ERA3.45
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.84
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
BAL
Shane Baz RHP
Shane Baz
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.91
96th
WHIP
1.33
124th
K/9
7.99
121st
BB/9
3.14
114th
P-Score66i
FIP
3.39
HR/9
0.66
21st
OPS/R
0.633
IP
163.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.63
Road ERA4.18
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.08
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Baz allows the lower home-run rate: 0.66 vs 1.26 per nine.
·Baz owns the lower FIP, 3.39 to 4.32.
·Baz has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 0%.
·Baz has the stronger command profile, with a 3.1 BB/9 versus 3.6.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricLópezBazNote
ERA−8796Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.323.39
WAR0.53.5Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

López arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam55%94.2
Slider31%84.1
Curveball11%74.2
Changeup4%84.0
Baz arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam34%95.9
Knuckle Curve33%85.4
Cutter15%89.6
Sinker9%95.3
Changeup9%87.8
Fastball0%79.6

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Braves vs RHP (Shane Baz)
11th
in MLB
0.731OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Orioles vs RHP (Reynaldo López)
21st
in MLB
0.708OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Atlanta BravesOfficial lineupvs RHP Shane Baz
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Baz (BvP)
1Drake BaldwinLC81.79822.859No MLB historyNo history
2Ozzie AlbiesS2B60.71321.683No MLB historyNo history
3Matt OlsonL1B85.82837.843No MLB historyNo history
4Michael Harris IILCF79.80624.827No MLB historyNo history
5Mauricio DubónRLF55.69611.716No MLB historyNo history
6Dominic SmithLDH51.6968.729No MLB historyNo history
7Austin RileyR3B61.66216.661No MLB historyNo history
8Mike YastrzemskiLLF57.6789.695No MLB historyNo history
9Jim JarvisLSS34.5641.562No MLB historyNo history
1Drake Baldwin C · L.276 / .798 · 22 HRvs hand .859 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score2Ozzie Albies 2B · S.249 / .713 · 21 HRvs hand .683 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score3Matt Olson 1B · L.249 / .828 · 37 HRvs hand .843 · No MLB history · No history85H-Score4Michael Harris II CF · L.289 / .806 · 24 HRvs hand .827 · No MLB history · No history79H-Score5Mauricio Dubón LF · R.266 / .696 · 11 HRvs hand .716 · No MLB history · No history55H-Score6Dominic Smith DH · L.258 / .696 · 8 HRvs hand .729 · No MLB history · No history51H-Score7Austin Riley 3B · R.224 / .662 · 16 HRvs hand .661 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score8Mike Yastrzemski LF · L.224 / .678 · 9 HRvs hand .695 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score9Jim Jarvis SS · L.207 / .564 · 1 HRvs hand .562 · No MLB history · No history34H-Score
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs RHP Reynaldo López
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs López (BvP)
1Dylan BeaversLLF53.6956.711No MLB historyNo history
2Pete AlonsoR1B88.86034.894No MLB historyNo history
3Gunnar HendersonLSS67.69822.686No MLB historyNo history
4Taylor WardRDH57.6707.658No MLB historyNo history
5Christian Encarnacion-StrandR3B66.7968.615No MLB historyNo history
6Colton CowserLCF56.67013.709No MLB historyNo history
7Leody TaverasSCF46.6378.713No MLB historyNo history
8Jackson HollidayL2B48.6647.670No MLB historyNo history
9Chadwick TrompRC—.3440.254No MLB historyNo history
1Dylan Beavers LF · L.241 / .695 · 6 HRvs hand .711 · No MLB history · No history53H-Score2Pete Alonso 1B · R.268 / .860 · 34 HRvs hand .894 · No MLB history · No history88H-Score3Gunnar Henderson SS · L.219 / .698 · 22 HRvs hand .686 · No MLB history · No history67H-Score4Taylor Ward DH · R.224 / .670 · 7 HRvs hand .658 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score5Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B · R.260 / .796 · 8 HRvs hand .615 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score6Colton Cowser CF · L.213 / .670 · 13 HRvs hand .709 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score7Leody Taveras CF · S.217 / .637 · 8 HRvs hand .713 · No MLB history · No history46H-Score8Jackson Holliday 2B · L.235 / .664 · 7 HRvs hand .670 · No MLB history · No history48H-Score9Chadwick Tromp C · R.163 / .344 · 0 HRvs hand .254 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseATLATL·BALBAL
AVG.247 10th.234 27th
OPS.719 14th.710 20th
Home runs182 7th175 11th
Runs666 9th652 13th
OBP.310 24th.316 15th
SLG.409 5th.394 22nd
PitchingATLATL·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.57vs4.14
ATLBAL
WHIP1.25vs1.34
ATLBAL
K/98.6vs8.1
ATLBAL
HR Allowed161vs155
ATLBAL
BullpenATLATL·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.41vs3.95
no league rank
Saves45vs40
ATLBAL
ResultsATLATL·BALBAL
+2476th
Run differential
+19315th
85–60 Record70–76
7–3 Last 107–3
Last 10 games
Atlanta Braves (7–3)
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
Baltimore Orioles (7–3)
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
0—3
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Braves?+
Reynaldo López (3.95 ERA, 4–3) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Shane Baz (4.05 ERA, 4–9) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:35 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Where is the game being played?+
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, home of the Baltimore Orioles.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
ATL −107 · BAL −101 · Total 9. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 9, opened at 8.5. Lines are informational.
How have the Braves and Orioles performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Orioles 3–0 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Reynaldo López is at 52; Shane Baz is at 66. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.