Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles

Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles (2026-07-26). Reynaldo López vs Shane Baz at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Starters — López has a 3.95 ERA and 1.36 WHIP across 66 innings, with 8.18 K/9, 3.82 BB/9, and 1.36 HR/9. His last three starts were mixed: 4.1 innings and 5 earned runs with 6 strikeouts and 3 walks, then 5 innings and 4 earned runs with 3 strikeouts and 1 walk, then 5 innings and 1 earned run with 5 strikeouts and 2 walks. The trend is up, but the recent game log still shows some volatility, especially with walks and home run exposure. Baz carries a 4.05 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over 117.2 innings, with 8.03 K/9, 3.21 BB/9, and a much lower 0.69 HR/9. His last three starts were sharper: 6 innings and 1 earned run with 6 strikeouts and no walks, 4.2 innings and 2 earned runs with 9 strikeouts and no walks, and 6 innings and 3 earned runs with 3 strikeouts and 3 walks. The trend is down, and his recent command has improved noticeably.

Teams — Atlanta enters with a .734 OPS and 517 runs scored, backed by a 3.67 team ERA and 1.24 team WHIP. The Braves are 7-3 over their last 10 games, and their profile is the more balanced one here, with the stronger season-long run production and better run prevention staff. Baltimore has a .719 OPS and 481 runs scored, with a 4.15 team ERA and 1.33 WHIP. The Orioles are also 7-3 in their last 10, so current form is solid, but their season-long pitching indicators trail Atlanta’s. From a betting angle, Atlanta brings the better full-team baseline, while Baltimore may lean more on Baz’s recent efficiency and home run suppression.