FinalFinal lineupsNL Central

Cincinnati Reds   vs   St. Louis Cardinals Preview

July 26, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at Busch Stadium.

2:15 PM ET · Busch StadiumStats updated Jul 26, 2:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jul 26, 1:54 PM ET
T-Score31
69–76 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 31
5
53
FINAL
72–74 · 4th NL Central · T-Score 42
3
T-Score42
FINALCIN +115 · STL −125 · Total 8.5
CIN +115 · STL −125 · Total 8.5Last update Jul 26, 1:54 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherCardinalsLeahy owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handCardinalsSt. owns a .715 OPS vs LHP, 11th in MLB; Cincinnati ranks 28th vs RHP.
LineupCardinalsSt.'s official lineup includes 7 right-handed bats against the opposing starter.
Recent formRedsCincinnati has been the better recent team, at 5–5 over the last 10.
PowerRedsCincinnati has 135 home runs this season, 25 more than St..

Starting pitchers

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.43
134th
WHIP
1.42
166th
K/9
7.09
167th
BB/9
4.14
184th
P-Score44i
FIP
4.78
HR/9
1.30
139th
OPS/R
0.745
IP
152.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.64
Road ERA4.23
Last 5 starts
ERA
4.10
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.41
51st
WHIP
1.33
121st
K/9
8.45
93rd
BB/9
2.59
59th
P-Score70i
FIP
3.57
HR/9
0.95
69th
OPS/R
0.593
IP
132.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA2.91
Road ERA3.94
Last 5 starts
ERA
0.71
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Leahy owns the lower FIP, 3.57 to 4.78.
·Leahy strikes out 1.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Leahy walks 1.5 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Abbott has been more vulnerable to home runs, allowing 0.35 more per nine innings.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricAbbottLeahyNote
ERA−10483Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.783.57
WAR1.52.4Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Abbott arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam45%92.2
Sweeper20%81.4
Changeup19%85.6
Curveball13%79.7
Cutter3%88.8
Leahy arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam26%94.2
Curveball16%83.0
Slider16%89.3
Changeup14%88.6
Sweeper14%84.8
Sinker13%94.2

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Reds vs RHP (Kyle Leahy)
28th
in MLB
0.693OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
11th
in MLB
0.715OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Cincinnati RedsOfficial lineupvs RHP Kyle Leahy
St. Louis CardinalsOfficial lineupvs LHP Andrew Abbott

Team comparison

OffenseCINCIN·STLSTL
AVG.230 29th.243 17th
OPS.707 22nd.702 24th
Home runs195 3rd155 21st
Runs610 25th662 10th
OBP.309 28th.317 14th
SLG.398 20th.385 26th
PitchingCINCIN·STLSTL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.66vs4.29
CINSTL
WHIP1.43vs1.35
CINSTL
K/98.2vs8.0
CINSTL
HR Allowed184vs146
CINSTL
BullpenCINCIN·STLSTL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.47vs4.13
no league rank
Saves39vs43
CINSTL
ResultsCINCIN·STLSTL
+8828th
Run differential
+17218th
69–76 Record72–74
5–5 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
67
13 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Reds?+
Andrew Abbott (3.89 ERA, 5–6) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cardinals?+
Kyle Leahy (3.59 ERA, 7–4) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:15 PM ET at Busch Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Busch Stadium, home of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
CIN +115 · STL −125 · Total 8.5. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 8.5. Lines are informational.
How have the Reds and Cardinals performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Cardinals 7–6 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Andrew Abbott is at 44; Kyle Leahy is at 70. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.