FinalFinal lineupsNL West / NL East

San Diego Padres   vs   Miami Marlins Preview

July 26, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at loanDepot park.

1:40 PM ET · loanDepot parkStats updated Jul 26, 2:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jul 26, 1:14 PM ET
T-Score56
77–68 · 3rd NL West · T-Score 56
5
53
FINAL
72–74 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 58
3
T-Score58
FINALSD +108 · MIA −117 · Total 8.5
SD +108 · MIA −117 · Total 8.5Last update Jul 26, 1:14 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMarlinsJunk holds a modest edge in P-Score and last-5 ERA, while the ERA gap is small.
Offense vs handMarlinsMiami owns a .738 OPS vs RHP, 8th in MLB; San ranks 23th vs RHP.
LineupEvenBoth confirmed lineups are close to their normal everyday configuration.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formPadresSan has been the better recent team, at 5–5 over the last 10.

Starting pitchers

2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.56
143rd
WHIP
1.34
125th
K/9
7.72
133rd
BB/9
3.37
134th
P-Score54i
FIP
4.33
HR/9
1.19
114th
OPS/R
0.706
IP
136.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.00
Road ERA5.23
Last 5 starts
ERA
9.41
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.00
103rd
WHIP
1.28
101st
K/9
6.17
202nd
BB/9
2.42
44th
P-Score54i
FIP
4.06
HR/9
1.00
83rd
OPS/R
0.613
IP
108.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.48
Road ERA4.78
Last 5 starts
ERA
8.39
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Buehler strikes out 1.5 more batters per nine innings.
·Junk has the stronger command profile, with a 2.4 BB/9 versus 3.4.
·Junk enters with a 4.00 ERA compared with Buehler's 4.56.
·Junk averages 0.6 more innings per start.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricBuehlerJunkNote
ERA−11495Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.334.06
WAR1.51.8Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Buehler arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Cutter25%90.4
Four-seam20%94.1
Sinker20%94.2
Slider10%87.1
Changeup10%89.3
Knuckle Curve9%78.3
Sweeper7%82.7
Junk arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam34%94.0
Slider21%86.3
Changeup18%87.3
Sweeper14%80.1
Curveball9%80.7
Sinker4%93.5

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

23rd
in MLB
0.704OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
8th
in MLB
0.738OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Janson Junk
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Walker Buehler

Team comparison

OffenseSDSD·MIAMIA
AVG.236 24th.247 10th
OPS.699 26th.724 11th
Home runs159 20th149 25th
Runs610 23rd640 18th
OBP.314 18th.325 6th
SLG.385 25th.399 18th
PitchingSDSD·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.90vs4.02
SDMIA
WHIP1.28vs1.27
SDMIA
K/98.3vs8.3
SDMIA
HR Allowed159vs147
SDMIA
BullpenSDSD·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.99vs3.73
no league rank
Saves43vs31
SDMIA
ResultsSDSD·MIAMIA
+17717th
Run differential
+18716th
77–68 Record72–74
5–5 Last 100–10
Last 10 games
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
Miami Marlins (010)
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
33
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Padres?+
Walker Buehler (5.23 ERA, 6–5) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Janson Junk (5.09 ERA, 4–6) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:40 PM ET at loanDepot park.
Where is the game being played?+
loanDepot park, home of the Miami Marlins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
SD +108 · MIA −117 · Total 8.5. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 8.5. Lines are informational.
How have the Padres and Marlins performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Marlins 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Walker Buehler is at 54; Janson Junk is at 54. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.