Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets

Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets (2026-07-26). Emmet Sheehan vs Freddy Peralta at Citi Field.

Starters — Sheehan has a 5.13 ERA and 1.27 WHIP over 87.2 innings, with strong bat-missing ability at 10.16 K/9 and solid control at 2.77 BB/9. The concern is damage on contact, as his HR/9 sits at 1.75. In his last three starts, he allowed 6 ER in 5.1 innings, then 2 ER in 5.1, then 1 ER in 4.1, with 18 strikeouts against 5 walks across that span. The listed trend is flat, which fits a profile that still misses bats but has not fully stabilized. Peralta enters with a 5.01 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over 109.2 innings, plus 9.03 K/9, 3.78 BB/9, and 1.40 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 7 ER in 5.1 innings, 2 ER in 4.1, and 1 ER in 4.2, while posting 18 strikeouts and 8 walks. His trend is marked up, suggesting some recent improvement despite the roughest outing coming most recently.

Teams — Los Angeles brings the stronger offensive baseline with a .773 OPS and 543 runs scored, compared with New York’s .684 OPS and 424 runs. The Dodgers also hold the better pitching staff numbers, with a 3.53 team ERA and 1.13 WHIP, while the Mets sit at 4.21 and 1.31. Recent form also leans toward Los Angeles at 6-4 over the last 10, while New York is 3-7. From a betting matchup standpoint, the Dodgers pair the more productive lineup with the steadier overall staff, while the Mets may need Peralta’s strikeout ability to offset their weaker team-level run production.