Matchup at a glance
PitcherStat calculationCategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherNationalsCavalli leads Leahy in P-Score (70 vs 57), WHIP and K/9.
Offense vs handNationalsWashington has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
WeatherLow impact77°F, wind 5 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.
Starting pitchers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
How the starters differ
·Cavalli strikes out 2.1 more batters per nine innings.
·The WHIP gap favors Cavalli, 1.17 to 1.31.
·Cavalli enters with a 2.95 road ERA; Leahy owns a 2.79 ERA at home.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
| Metric | Cavalli | Leahy | Note |
|---|
| ERA− | 73 | 83 | Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average. |
| FIP | 3.33 | 3.58 | |
| WAR | 3.6 | 2.4 | Season value. |
How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix
Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.
Cavalli arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 33% | 96.8 |
| Knuckle Curve | 27% | 86.2 |
| Sweeper | 14% | 86.3 |
| Sinker | 13% | 96.1 |
| Changeup | 8% | 89.1 |
| Cutter | 6% | 93.5 |
| Slow Curve | 0% | 77.6 |
Leahy arsenal
| Pitch | Usage | Velo |
|---|
| Four-seam | 26% | 94.2 |
| Slider | 16% | 89.4 |
| Curveball | 16% | 83.0 |
| Changeup | 15% | 88.6 |
| Sweeper | 14% | 84.8 |
| Sinker | 13% | 94.2 |
Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand
0.737OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
0.693OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Lineups
Lineup pendingOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page Lineups not announced
Neither club has posted a batting order. Handedness composition, H-Score leaders and batter-vs-pitcher samples appear here as soon as the first order is filed — typically two to three hours before first pitch.
Team comparison
Results
WSH·
STL+2935th
Run differential
+19718th
Frequently asked
Who is starting for the Nationals?+
Cade Cavalli is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Cardinals?+
Kyle Leahy is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
8:15 PM ET at Busch Stadium.
Where is the game being played?+
Busch Stadium, home of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not yet. Orders appear here when they are posted.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Cade Cavalli is at 70; Kyle Leahy is at 57. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.