Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers

Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers (2026-07-11). Cristopher Sánchez vs Casey Mize at Comerica Park.

Starters — Sánchez has a 2.62 ERA and 1.16 WHIP across 120.1 innings, with 10.25 K/9, 1.8 BB/9, and 0.82 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 3.1 innings and 9 earned runs on July 6, 7 scoreless innings with 9 strikeouts on June 30, and 5 innings with 5 earned runs on June 25. The recent form is volatile despite the strong full-season profile, and the listed trend is up. Mize carries a 2.64 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 71.2 innings, with 9.04 K/9, 2.01 BB/9, and 0.63 HR/9. His last three starts were 6.2 innings with 2 earned runs on July 5, 7 scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts on June 29, and 5.2 innings with 4 earned runs on June 23. His recent stretch looks steadier, and the listed trend is down.

Teams — Philadelphia owns a .704 OPS and 415 runs scored while batting .236 as a team. The Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. Detroit has a slightly better .716 OPS with 405 runs scored and the same .236 team average. The Tigers have been stronger on the run prevention side, posting a 3.64 team ERA and 1.21 WHIP, and they enter on a 9-1 run over their last 10 games. Philadelphia brings the higher run total overall, but Detroit has the cleaner team pitching indicators and better recent form.