Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins

Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota Twins (2026-07-11). Ryan Johnson vs Joe Ryan at Target Field.

Starters — Ryan Johnson has a 6.99 ERA and 1.55 WHIP across 28.1 innings, with 7.62 K/9, 3.18 BB/9, and a high 2.54 HR/9. His full-season line is rough, but his last three starts were much better: 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 1 BB; 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 3 K, 0 BB; and 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 8 K, 1 BB. That recent run points to a clear downward trend in run prevention after early damage. Joe Ryan brings a 2.85 ERA and 1.04 WHIP over 104.1 innings, backed by 10.52 K/9, 1.98 BB/9, and 0.86 HR/9. His last three starts were 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 9 K, 1 BB; 4.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 3 BB; and 6.0 IP, 4 ER, 9 K, 1 BB. The strikeout rate remains elite, and the overall trend is still down despite one shorter outing.

Teams — The Angels own a .708 OPS and 425 runs scored, with a .240 team average. Their pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, and they enter on a 2-8 run over the last 10 games. Minnesota has the stronger offensive profile with a .736 OPS, 462 runs, and a .247 average. The Twins’ staff sits at a 4.67 ERA and 1.37 WHIP, and they are 6-4 over their last 10. From a betting form perspective, Minnesota shows the steadier offense and better recent results, while the Angels’ recent slide puts more pressure on Johnson to sustain his improved three-start stretch.