Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres

Toronto Blue Jays at San Diego Padres (2026-07-11). Trey Yesavage vs Walker Buehler at Petco Park.

Starters — Trey Yesavage has a 3.31 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across 73.1 innings, with 8.35 K/9, 3.93 BB/9, and 0.86 HR/9. His last three starts were solid: 6.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 2 BB; 6.2 IP, 1 ER, 3 K, 0 BB; and 5.2 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 5 BB. The recent trend is down, which supports the quality run prevention shown over that stretch. Walker Buehler carries a 5.07 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 87.0 innings, with 8.28 K/9, 3.21 BB/9, and 1.14 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 5.0 IP, 7 ER, 4 K, 1 BB; 4.0 IP, 9 ER, 6 K, 4 BB; and 5.1 IP, 1 ER, 5 K, 3 BB. The trend is up, but the two most recent outings were damaging and point to volatility.

Teams — Toronto enters with a .688 OPS, 381 runs scored, a .244 team average, and a 4.07 team ERA with a 1.30 WHIP. The Blue Jays are 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they show a modest edge in both offensive production and overall pitching efficiency. San Diego has a .672 OPS, 366 runs scored, a .225 team average, and a 4.20 team ERA with a 1.33 WHIP. The Padres are 3-7 over their last 10, which adds some short-term concern given the lighter offense and slightly weaker run prevention profile.