Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds (2026-08-14). Sandy Alcantara vs Chase Burns at Great American Ball Park.

Starters — Sandy Alcantara enters with a 3.52 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and 163.2 innings, backed by 7.04 K/9, 2.31 BB/9, and 0.93 HR/9. His last three starts have been dominant: 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 8 K, 1 BB; 6.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 2 BB; and 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 1 BB. The trend is clearly down on run prevention, with three straight scoreless outings. Chase Burns brings a 2.61 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and 124.0 innings, with a much higher 10.38 K/9, plus 3.34 BB/9 and 0.94 HR/9. His last three starts were 5.1 IP, 5 ER, 6 K, 3 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 9 K, 2 BB; and 5.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 2 BB. The trend is up overall, though the most recent outing was his roughest of the three.

Teams — Miami has the stronger offensive profile on these numbers, carrying a .730 OPS and 535 runs scored. The Marlins also pair that with a 3.98 team ERA and 1.25 WHIP, while going 5-5 over their last 10 games. Cincinnati has a .702 OPS, 496 runs scored, and a .227 team average. The Reds are 6-4 in their last 10, but their full-season pitching line is less stable, with a 4.51 team ERA and 1.41 WHIP. That creates an interesting split: Cincinnati gets the higher-strikeout starter, while Miami brings the more productive lineup and better overall staff support.