Washington Nationals vs New York Mets
↓ ERA trending down lately
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Washington Nationals at New York Mets (2026-08-14). Andrew Alvarez vs Robert Stock at Citi Field.
Starters — Andrew Alvarez has a 3.76 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over 69.1 innings, with 8.44 K/9, 4.15 BB/9, and an elite 0.26 HR/9. His last three starts were steady: 5.1 IP, 1 ER, 2 K, 1 BB; 6.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 3 BB; and 4.1 IP, 1 ER, 3 K, 3 BB. The trend is down, but the recent run prevention has still been solid. Robert Stock has a 10.13 ERA and 2.13 WHIP in 8 innings, with 9.0 K/9, 5.63 BB/9, and 1.13 HR/9. His last two starts were volatile: 3 IP, 8 ER, 4 K, 5 BB, followed by 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 0 BB. The strikeout rate is playable, but the command and very small sample keep the profile unstable.
Teams — Washington brings the stronger offense by the numbers, posting a .769 OPS, .252 average, and 662 runs scored. The Nationals are 5-5 in their last 10, but their pitching staff has been vulnerable overall with a 4.72 team ERA and 1.39 WHIP. New York has a .694 OPS, .235 average, and 510 runs scored, so the lineup production has lagged well behind Washington’s. The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10 and have the better season-long pitching indicators, with a 4.14 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
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