5.15
ERA
1.52
WHIP
8.7
K/9
113.2
IP
23
GS
3.4
BB/9
vs CHC — career
3.86ERA3GS.283OPP AVG12K
St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs
—:—
2:20 PM ET
H2H 5–8
Starting pitchers
2.86
ERA
1.16
WHIP
7.3
K/9
56.2
IP
10
GS
3.2
BB/9
vs STL — career
3.18ERA1GS.200OPP AVG5K
Starter form · last 5 starts
Season5.15
Last 54.50
↓0.65 ERA better in last 5
⚡ Alternating good/bad starts
Matchup edge
Clay Holmes pitching edge·Cubs 8–2 L10
Lineup not yet announced · posted ~1–2 hrs before first pitch
Projected hitters vs RHP / LHP
St. Louis vs RHP
Avg OPS 0.7952 hot hittersTop: Burleson 0.973 · Walker 0.853 · Wetherholt 0.784
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Cubs vs LHP
Avg OPS 1.2844 hot hittersTop: Conforto 2.467 · Dean 1.125 · Ramírez 1.111
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
St. Louis Cardinals hitters vs RHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
Chicago Cubs hitters vs LHP (projected)
Batter
AVG
OPS
HR
◆ Matchup preview
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs (2026-08-14). Matthew Liberatore vs Clay Holmes at Wrigley Field.
Starters — Liberatore has a 5.15 ERA and 1.52 WHIP across 113.2 innings, with 8.71 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, and 1.58 HR/9. His last three starts were uneven: 5 ER in 5.0 innings on Aug. 8, 0 ER in 6.0 innings on Aug. 2, and 3 ER in 3.2 innings on July 27. The overall trend is down, and the home-run rate remains a concern. Holmes has a 2.86 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 56.2 innings, with 7.31 K/9, 3.18 BB/9, and 0.64 HR/9. His last three starts were 4 ER in 4.0 innings on Aug. 8, 4 ER in 4.1 innings on May 15, and 2 ER in 5.2 innings on May 9. The trend is listed as up, supported by the strong full-season run prevention and low HR rate, though the recent workload sample is limited.
Teams — St. Louis enters with a .695 OPS, 529 runs scored, a .241 average, and a 4.07 team ERA with a 1.34 WHIP. The Cardinals are 7-3 over their last 10, which suggests better recent form than their season-long offensive profile. Chicago brings a .757 OPS, 634 runs scored, a .249 average, and a 4.10 team ERA with a 1.26 WHIP. The Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 and hold the clearer edge in season-long lineup production, while also carrying the better staff WHIP.
Key facts
Liberatore has allowed 1.58 HR/9 and owns a 1.52 WHIPHolmes has a 2.86 ERA and 0.64 HR/9 in 56.2 IPCubs offense leads this matchup with a .757 OPS and 634 runs
Head to head (2025–2026)
5—8
Chicago Cubs lead series
13 meetings total
2025-09-28
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
0–2
CHC
2025-09-27
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
3–7
CHC
2025-09-26
St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs
1–12
CHC
2025-08-10
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
2–3
STL
2025-08-09
Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals
9–1
CHC
Team picture · 2026
STL
CHC
Team AVG
0.241
0.249
Team OPS
0.695
0.757
Home runs
122
155
Runs scored
529
634
Team ERA
4.07
4.10
HR allowed
118
182
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