San Diego Padres vs Cleveland Guardians

San Diego Padres at Cleveland Guardians (2026-08-14). Michael King vs Gavin Williams at Progressive Field.

Starters — Michael King carries a 3.37 ERA and 1.17 WHIP across 136.1 innings, with 7.92 K/9, 3.63 BB/9, and 0.99 HR/9. His last three starts: 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 1 BB; 5.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 K, 4 BB; 6.0 IP, 4 ER, 6 K, 1 BB. The recent form points up after the strong August 8 outing, and his home-run suppression has been solid overall. Gavin Williams has a 3.55 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 144.2 innings, backed by 11.51 K/9, 2.55 BB/9, and 1.37 HR/9. His last three starts: 5.2 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 2 BB; 5.2 IP, 0 ER, 10 K, 1 BB; 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 12 K, 1 BB. The trend is listed down, but the recent game log still shows swing-and-miss dominance and strong command, with the main caution being the higher HR/9.

Teams — San Diego enters with a .702 OPS, 522 runs scored, a .238 team average, and a 4.10 team ERA with a 1.32 WHIP. The Padres are 7-3 over their last 10, which supports the idea that the lineup is in a better current rhythm than its season-long slash line alone suggests. Cleveland owns a .681 OPS, 483 runs scored, and a .232 team average, while the pitching staff has been better than San Diego’s on the year with a 3.83 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. The Guardians are 3-7 in their last 10, so bettors may weigh Cleveland’s stronger season-long run prevention against weaker recent form and a lighter offensive profile.