INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsNL East / AL West

Atlanta Braves 4, Houston Astros 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

2:10 PM ET · Daikin ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 22, 2:01 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 29, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score45
Atlanta Braves
94–68 · 1st NL East · T-Score 45
4
4–2
FINAL · 9 innings
Houston Astros
81–81 · 1st AL West · T-Score 43
2
T-Score43
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Martín PérezATL
Starter
4.1612279
Victor MederosATL
ReliefWin
0.200017
Dylan DoddATL
ReliefSave
1.0000313
Hunter BrownHOU
Starter
5.03021098
Bryan KingHOU
ReliefLoss
0.0341020
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
ATLAtlanta Braves000004000460
HOUHouston Astros000100010281
Top hitters
Mike Yastrzemski2-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI
Jose Altuve2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Yainer Diaz2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1 RBI
Ozzie Albies1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R
Yordan Alvarez2-for-4

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenThe starters grade similarly overall, with no clear advantage across P-Score, ERA and WHIP.
Offense vs handEvenBoth offenses perform near the same level against the opposing starter's handedness.
LineupAstrosThe confirmed Houston order includes 6 hitters with an OPS above .750 against left-handed pitching.
Recent formBravesAtlanta has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.
WeatherModerate impactA 9 mph wind could modestly increase carry on fly balls.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

ATL
Martín Pérez LHP
Martín Pérez
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.07
31st
WHIP
1.26
99th
K/9
6.54
192nd
BB/9
3.92
173rd
P-Score55i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.85
44th
OPS/R
–
IP
137.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.60
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
HOU
Hunter Brown RHP
Hunter Brown
Houston Astros
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.43
34th
WHIP
1.29
104th
K/9
10.21
26th
BB/9
4.55
206th
P-Score61i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.02
55th
OPS/R
–
IP
97.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.86
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Brown strikes out 3.7 more batters per nine innings.
·Pérez has the stronger command profile, with a 3.9 BB/9 versus 4.5.
·Pérez has produced a quality start in 50% of outings versus 40%.
·Pérez carries a 4.43 road ERA, compared with Brown's 3.27 mark at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Pérez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker35%89.2
Changeup31%81.7
Cutter22%85.0
Curveball7%76.7
Four-seam4%89.9
Brown arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker31%96.0
Four-seam30%96.2
Knuckle Curve18%83.4
Changeup9%87.5
Slider9%90.7
Cutter2%93.0
Slurve1%86.9

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Braves vs RHP (Hunter Brown)
11th
in MLB
0.730OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Astros vs LHP (Martín Pérez)
11th
in MLB
0.713OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 20, 12:11 PM ET
ATLATL
.741
−11 ptsOPS edge
HOUHOU
.752

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Atlanta BravesOfficial lineupvs RHP Hunter Brown
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Brown (BvP)
1Drake BaldwinLC75.81725.8880-for-3Very small sample
2Ronald Acuña Jr.RRF70.79620.8174-for-9Very small sample
3Matt OlsonL1B77.82341.8232-for-7Very small sample
4Michael Harris IILCF73.81226.8301-for-5Very small sample
5Mauricio DubónRLF52.72012.743No MLB historyNo history
6Ozzie AlbiesS2B50.68522.6571-for-4Very small sample
7Mike YastrzemskiLLF56.68912.697No MLB historyNo history
8Brewer HicklenRRF—.7680.750No MLB historyNo history
9Ha-Seong KimRSS19.3590.4521-for-4Very small sample
1Drake Baldwin C · L.284 / .817 · 25 HRvs hand .888 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample75H-Score2Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · R.255 / .796 · 20 HRvs hand .817 · 4-for-9 · Very small sample70H-Score3Matt Olson 1B · L.251 / .823 · 41 HRvs hand .823 · 2-for-7 · Very small sample77H-Score4Michael Harris II CF · L.294 / .812 · 26 HRvs hand .830 · 1-for-5 · Very small sample73H-Score5Mauricio Dubón LF · R.276 / .720 · 12 HRvs hand .743 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score6Ozzie Albies 2B · S.237 / .685 · 22 HRvs hand .657 · 1-for-4 · Very small sample50H-Score7Mike Yastrzemski LF · L.224 / .689 · 12 HRvs hand .697 · No MLB history · No history56H-Score8Brewer Hicklen RF · R.256 / .768 · 0 HRvs hand .750 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score9Ha-Seong Kim SS · R.116 / .359 · 0 HRvs hand .452 · 1-for-4 · Very small sample19H-Score
Houston AstrosOfficial lineupvs LHP Martín Pérez
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Pérez (BvP)
1Jeremy PeñaRSS56.80222.6912-for-13Small sample
2Yordan AlvarezLDH871.03342.8250-for-3Very small sample
3Isaac ParedesR3B62.80725.7591-for-6Very small sample
4Jose AltuveR2B45.70116.7623-for-7Very small sample
5Yainer DiazRC60.77214.8061-for-2Very small sample
6Christian WalkerR1B59.72629.7691-for-2Very small sample
7Cam SmithRRF53.66921.729No MLB historyNo history
8Nick AllenRSS40.7203.8203-for-11Small sample
9Brice MatthewsRCF30.5877.617No MLB historyNo history
1Jeremy Peña SS · R.277 / .802 · 22 HRvs hand .691 · 2-for-13 · Small sample56H-Score2Yordan Alvarez DH · L.316 / 1.033 · 42 HRvs hand .825 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample87H-Score3Isaac Paredes 3B · R.262 / .807 · 25 HRvs hand .759 · 1-for-6 · Very small sample62H-Score4Jose Altuve 2B · R.250 / .701 · 16 HRvs hand .762 · 3-for-7 · Very small sample45H-Score5Yainer Diaz C · R.285 / .772 · 14 HRvs hand .806 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample60H-Score6Christian Walker 1B · R.226 / .726 · 29 HRvs hand .769 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample59H-Score7Cam Smith RF · R.210 / .669 · 21 HRvs hand .729 · No MLB history · No history53H-Score8Nick Allen SS · R.283 / .720 · 3 HRvs hand .820 · 3-for-11 · Small sample40H-Score9Brice Matthews CF · R.201 / .587 · 7 HRvs hand .617 · No MLB history · No history30H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseATLATL·HOUHOU
AVG.246 10th.242 18th
OPS.718 16th.732 7th
Home runs204 8th226 1st
Runs742 8th734 13th
OBP.309 28th.315 19th
SLG.409 6th.417 4th
PitchingATLATL·HOUHOU
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.63vs4.45
ATLHOU
WHIP1.24vs1.34
ATLHOU
K/98.4vs8.8
ATLHOU
HR Allowed185vs204
ATLHOU
BullpenATLATL·HOUHOU
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.86vs3.71
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.24vs1.22
no league rank
Saves49vs49
ATLHOU
ResultsATLATL·HOUHOU
+4009th
Run differential
+39311th
94–68 Record81–81
6–4 Last 103–7
Last 10 games
Atlanta Braves (6–4)
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
Houston Astros (3–7)
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
1—2
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Braves?+
Martín Pérez (3.07 ERA, 9–9) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Hunter Brown (3.43 ERA, 6–3) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
2:10 PM ET at Daikin Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Daikin Park, home of the Houston Astros.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Braves and Astros performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Astros 2–1 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Martín Pérez is at 55; Hunter Brown is at 61. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.