Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros
Houston Astros
↓ ERA trending down lately
↓ ERA trending down lately
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Baltimore Orioles at Houston Astros (2026-07-18). Trevor Rogers vs Spencer Arrighetti at Daikin Park.
Starters — Trevor Rogers has a 4.48 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and 90.1 innings, with 6.87 K/9, 3.09 BB/9, and 1.00 HR/9. His last three starts were strong: 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 2 BB; 5.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 K, 5 BB; and 6.1 IP, 1 ER, 7 K, 0 BB. The recent trend is down, and the game log supports improving run prevention even if the strikeout rate is modest. Spencer Arrighetti has a 4.50 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and 82.0 innings, with 8.89 K/9, 4.83 BB/9, and 1.32 HR/9. His last three starts were volatile: 4.0 IP, 8 ER, 2 K, 6 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 1 BB; and 3.0 IP, 8 ER, 7 K, 5 BB. The trend is also down, but his profile is riskier because the swing-and-miss comes with elevated walks and home-run damage.
Teams — Baltimore owns a .720 OPS, 450 runs, a .238 average, and a pitching staff with a 4.27 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. The Orioles are 7-3 over their last 10, which adds some current-form support to an otherwise fairly balanced offensive profile. Houston has a .728 OPS, 451 runs, a .242 average, and a team 4.79 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP. The Astros have been slightly better at the plate by OPS and batting average, but their staff numbers are weaker overall, and they are 4-6 in their last 10.