INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL East / AL Central

Baltimore Orioles 10, Detroit Tigers 9

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

1:10 PM ET · Comerica ParkStats updated Jul 29, 1:45 PM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score52
Baltimore Orioles
72–76 · 5th AL East · T-Score 52
10
10–9
FINAL
Detroit Tigers
68–79 · 4th AL Central · T-Score 45
9
T-Score45
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherTigersSkubal owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
Offense vs handOriolesBaltimore has produced the stronger offense against left-handed pitching.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formTigersDetroit has won 5 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Plate disciplineOriolesBaltimore has drawn 418 walks this season, 41 more than Detroit.

Starting pitchers

BAL
Trevor Rogers LHP
Trevor Rogers
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.15
121st
WHIP
1.21
69th
K/9
8.19
109th
BB/9
2.20
31st
P-Score65i
FIP
3.44
HR/9
0.95
66th
OPS/R
0.753
IP
151.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.01
Road ERA4.34
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.47
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
DET
Tarik Skubal LHP
Tarik Skubal
Detroit Tigers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
2.84
25th
WHIP
0.97
11th
K/9
10.57
22nd
BB/9
1.55
4th
P-Score82i
FIP
2.58
HR/9
0.84
46th
OPS/R
0.576
IP
139.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.40
Road ERA2.09
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.48
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
How the starters differ
·Skubal strikes out 2.4 more batters per nine innings.
·Skubal allows fewer baserunners, with a 0.97 WHIP compared with 1.21.
·Skubal enters with a 2.84 ERA compared with Rogers's 4.15.
·Rogers has produced a quality start in 80% of outings versus 60%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricRogersSkubalNote
ERA−10268Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.442.58
WAR3.64.4Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Rogers arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam46%93.8
Changeup21%87.0
Sweeper14%78.1
Sinker10%93.4
Cutter9%83.1
Skubal arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam37%96.8
Changeup26%87.6
Sinker18%96.7
Slider14%89.7
Curveball5%80.4

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Orioles vs LHP (Tarik Skubal)
11th
in MLB
0.717OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Tigers vs LHP (Trevor Rogers)
21st
in MLB
0.690OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs LHP Tarik Skubal
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Skubal (BvP)
1Taylor WardRDH59.6737.712No MLB historyNo history
2Pete AlonsoR1B88.85434.795No MLB historyNo history
3Gunnar HendersonLSS66.70022.721No MLB historyNo history
4Tyler O'NeillRRF53.67710.775No MLB historyNo history
5Christian Encarnacion-StrandR3B66.80381.066No MLB historyNo history
6Coby MayoR3B71.757231.124No MLB historyNo history
7Leody TaverasSCF46.6398.506No MLB historyNo history
8Jeremiah JacksonR2B44.6127.570No MLB historyNo history
9Chadwick TrompRC—.3440.500No MLB historyNo history
1Taylor Ward DH · R.225 / .673 · 7 HRvs hand .712 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score2Pete Alonso 1B · R.266 / .854 · 34 HRvs hand .795 · No MLB history · No history88H-Score3Gunnar Henderson SS · L.221 / .700 · 22 HRvs hand .721 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score4Tyler O'Neill RF · R.212 / .677 · 10 HRvs hand .775 · No MLB history · No history53H-Score5Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B · R.268 / .803 · 8 HRvs hand 1.066 · No MLB history · No history66H-Score6Coby Mayo 3B · R.223 / .757 · 23 HRvs hand 1.124 · No MLB history · No history71H-Score7Leody Taveras CF · S.219 / .639 · 8 HRvs hand .506 · No MLB history · No history46H-Score8Jeremiah Jackson 2B · R.227 / .612 · 7 HRvs hand .570 · No MLB history · No history44H-Score9Chadwick Tromp C · R.163 / .344 · 0 HRvs hand .500 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score
Detroit TigersOfficial lineupvs LHP Trevor Rogers
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Rogers (BvP)
1Gleyber TorresR2B61.7488.803No MLB historyNo history
2Kevin McGonigleLSS75.78816.648No MLB historyNo history
3Hao-Yu LeeR2B58.7148.629No MLB historyNo history
4Dillon DinglerRC72.76627.604No MLB historyNo history
5Riley GreeneLLF81.84719.800No MLB historyNo history
6Eduardo ValenciaRDH—.8976.933No MLB historyNo history
7Spencer TorkelsonR1B67.71922.730No MLB historyNo history
8Matt VierlingRCF39.5905.766No MLB historyNo history
9Javier BáezRSS30.6162.669No MLB historyNo history
1Gleyber Torres 2B · R.268 / .748 · 8 HRvs hand .803 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score2Kevin McGonigle SS · L.271 / .788 · 16 HRvs hand .648 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score3Hao-Yu Lee 2B · R.256 / .714 · 8 HRvs hand .629 · No MLB history · No history58H-Score4Dillon Dingler C · R.246 / .766 · 27 HRvs hand .604 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score5Riley Greene LF · L.279 / .847 · 19 HRvs hand .800 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score6Eduardo Valencia DH · R.301 / .897 · 6 HRvs hand .933 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score7Spencer Torkelson 1B · R.220 / .719 · 22 HRvs hand .730 · No MLB history · No history67H-Score8Matt Vierling CF · R.207 / .590 · 5 HRvs hand .766 · No MLB history · No history39H-Score9Javier Báez SS · R.238 / .616 · 2 HRvs hand .669 · No MLB history · No history30H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseBALBAL·DETDET
AVG.235 28th.237 23rd
OPS.711 19th.710 20th
Home runs178 11th166 18th
Runs668 12th647 19th
OBP.316 16th.314 20th
SLG.395 23rd.396 21st
PitchingBALBAL·DETDET
1stMLB rank30th
ERA4.15vs3.65
BALDET
WHIP1.34vs1.22
BALDET
K/98.1vs8.1
BALDET
HR Allowed159vs151
BALDET
BullpenBALBAL·DETDET
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.00vs3.60
no league rank
Saves42vs29
BALDET
ResultsBALBAL·DETDET
+20615th
Run differential
+2527th
72–76 Record68–79
5–5 Last 105–5
Last 10 games
Baltimore Orioles (5–5)
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
Detroit Tigers (5–5)
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
1—5
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Trevor Rogers (4.17 ERA, 6–7) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Tigers?+
Tarik Skubal (2.70 ERA, 7–5) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
1:10 PM ET at Comerica Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Comerica Park, home of the Detroit Tigers.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Orioles and Tigers performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Tigers 5–1 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Trevor Rogers is at 65; Tarik Skubal is at 82. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.