Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit Tigers

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers (2026-07-29). Trevor Rogers vs Tarik Skubal at Comerica Park.

Starters — Trevor Rogers has a 4.17 ERA and 1.27 WHIP across 103.2 innings, with 7.21 K/9, 2.78 BB/9, and 0.87 HR/9. His last three starts were strong: 7.0 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 0 BB; 6.1 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 1 BB; and 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 2 BB. The recent form points up, with better run prevention and solid control. Tarik Skubal has a 2.70 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over 90 innings, backed by 11.0 K/9, 1.3 BB/9, and 1.0 HR/9. His last three starts were 7.1 IP, 1 ER, 12 K, 2 BB; 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 9 K, 0 BB; and 5.0 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 1 BB. Even with a listed down trend, the underlying profile remains elite because of the strikeout rate, low walks, and consistent efficiency.

Teams — Baltimore carries a .717 OPS with 491 runs scored and a .237 team average. The Orioles are 5-5 in their last 10 games, and their pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP, which suggests more volatility behind Rogers than Detroit has behind Skubal. Detroit also has a .717 OPS, with 464 runs scored and a .239 team average. The Tigers are 5-5 in their last 10, but their team pitching has been sharper overall with a 3.60 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. With identical OPS marks, the separation comes more from run prevention and the home staff’s stronger baseline.