Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds (2026-07-29). Joey Cantillo vs Brady Singer at Great American Ball Park.

Starters — Joey Cantillo enters with a 4.02 ERA and 1.46 WHIP over 109.2 innings, with strong bat-missing ability at 9.52 K/9 but shakier control at 4.35 BB/9. He has allowed 1.07 HR/9. Over his last three starts, Cantillo has gone 3.2 innings with 5 earned runs, 5 innings with 4 earned runs, and 5 innings with 1 earned run, totaling 13.2 innings, 10 earned runs, 20 strikeouts, and 6 walks. The trend is up, but the most recent two outings show some volatility. Brady Singer carries a 4.53 ERA and 1.38 WHIP across 103.1 innings, with 7.66 K/9, 2.79 BB/9, and a higher 1.83 HR/9. His last three starts have been sharp: 6.2 innings with 3 earned runs, 7 innings with 2 earned runs, and 7.1 innings with 1 earned run. In that span, he has worked 21.0 innings with 6 earned runs, 17 strikeouts, and just 2 walks. His trend is down, reflecting improved recent run prevention.

Teams — Cleveland has a .677 OPS and 426 runs scored, while Cincinnati has a .705 OPS and 439 runs. The Reds hold the better offensive profile by both OPS and total runs. On the pitching side, Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA and 1.26 WHIP, compared with Cincinnati’s 4.46 ERA and 1.41 WHIP, giving the Guardians the stronger full-staff run prevention numbers. Recent form also leans toward Cincinnati offensively and overall momentum, with the Reds at 6-4 in their last 10 and Cleveland at 3-7. Great American Ball Park can punish mistakes, which puts extra focus on Cantillo’s walks and Singer’s home run rate.