Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals
⚡ Alternating good/bad starts
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Projected sample — season splits vs pitcher hand, not official order.
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals (2026-07-29). Matthew Boyd vs Dustin May at Busch Stadium.
Starters — Boyd has a 3.81 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 59 innings, with 8.39 K/9, 2.59 BB/9, and 0.92 HR/9. His last three starts were 7.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 3 BB; 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 1 BB; and 6.1 IP, 4 ER, 3 K, 1 BB. The recent form points in a favorable direction, with two strong outings after a rougher start. May carries a 4.59 ERA and 1.32 WHIP across 104 innings, with 8.91 K/9, 2.86 BB/9, and a strong 0.61 HR/9. His last three starts were 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 1 BB; 5.0 IP, 5 ER, 6 K, 4 BB; and 4.0 IP, 2 ER, 4 K, 4 BB. His profile shows swing-and-miss ability and solid home run suppression, but recent command has been less stable from start to start.
Teams — Chicago brings the stronger offensive baseline with a .758 OPS and 558 runs scored, compared with St. Louis at a .695 OPS and 471 runs. The Cubs also enter in better recent form at 7-3 over their last 10, while the Cardinals are 2-8. On the pitching side, the team numbers are close: Chicago has a 4.20 team ERA and 1.27 WHIP, while St. Louis has a 4.21 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. That suggests the bigger separation in this matchup comes from lineup production and current momentum rather than overall staff results. Chicago’s .250 team average also edges St. Louis at .239, reinforcing the gap in contact quality and run creation.
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