INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL Central / AL East

Milwaukee Brewers 6, Baltimore Orioles 5

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:05 PM ET · Oriole Park at Camden YardsGame-day snapshot Sep 20, 2:02 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 9, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score77
Milwaukee Brewers
103–59 · 1st NL Central · T-Score 77
6
6–5
FINAL · 10 innings
Baltimore Orioles
79–82 · 4th AL East · T-Score 52
5
T-Score52
FINAL · 10 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Dustin MayMIL
Starter
2.1631470
Trevor MegillMIL
ReliefWin
1.0220118
Chad PatrickMIL
ReliefSave
1.000019
Cade PovichBAL
Starter
3.2532371
Grant WolframBAL
ReliefLoss
1.0200115
Scoring by inning
12345678910RHE
MILMilwaukee Brewers03000000216100
BALBaltimore Orioles00300000205120
Top hitters
Jackson Chourio2-for-5 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 1 BB
Pete Alonso1-for-4 · 1 HR · 3 RBI · 1 BB
William Contreras1-for-4 · 1 RBI · 1 R · 1 BB
Christian Yelich1-for-5 · 1 RBI
Sal Frelick1-for-1 · 1 RBI · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherBrewersThe starters are close overall, but May owns the better strikeout and control profile.
BullpenBrewersMilwaukee has allowed fewer runs from the bullpen on the season ERA.
Recent formBrewersMilwaukee has won 7 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
Team strengthBrewersMilwaukee leads 77–52 in T-Score, driven by recent team form.
PowerOriolesBaltimore has 188 home runs this season, 41 more than Milwaukee.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

MIL
Dustin May RHP
Dustin May
Milwaukee Brewers
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.49
151st
WHIP
1.29
121st
K/9
8.65
79th
BB/9
2.99
110th
P-Score49i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.72
41st
OPS/R
–
IP
138.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.70
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
7
BAL
Cade Povich LHP
Cade Povich
Baltimore Orioles
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.05
130th
WHIP
1.44
190th
K/9
6.75
179th
BB/9
3.51
147th
P-Score41i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.35
162nd
OPS/R
–
IP
33.1
Last 5 starts
ERA
2.96
QUALITY
START %
20%
(1 of 5)
DAYS
REST
18
How the starters differ
·May owns a 8.7 K/9 compared with Povich's 6.8.
·May allows the lower home-run rate: 0.72 vs 1.35 per nine.
·The WHIP gap favors May, 1.29 to 1.44.
·May enters with a 5.88 road ERA; Povich owns a 0.71 ERA at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

May arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam25%96.9
Cutter24%93.3
Sinker20%96.6
Sweeper18%86.0
Curveball8%83.7
Changeup6%90.2
Povich arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam45%91.8
Curveball23%76.3
Slider13%86.4
Changeup10%85.0
Sinker9%91.2

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Brewers vs LHP (Cade Povich)
14th
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Orioles vs RHP (Dustin May)
18th
in MLB
0.715OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 18, 4:05 PM ET
MILMIL
.757
+33 ptsOPS edge
BALBAL
.724

Slight edge: MIL

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Milwaukee BrewersOfficial lineupvs LHP Cade Povich
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Povich (BvP)
1Jackson ChourioRLF82.83825.979No MLB historyNo history
2Brice TurangL2B75.81621.566No MLB historyNo history
3William ContrerasRC74.75818.767No MLB historyNo history
4Andrew VaughnR1B69.8346.9381-for-3Very small sample
5Christian YelichLDH59.69312.628No MLB historyNo history
6Joey OrtizRSS57.7309.664No MLB historyNo history
7Garrett MitchellLCF70.77011.708No MLB historyNo history
8Luis LaraSRF42.6361.642No MLB historyNo history
9Cooper PrattRSS46.7183.555No MLB historyNo history
1Jackson Chourio LF · R.291 / .838 · 25 HRvs hand .979 · No MLB history · No history82H-Score2Brice Turang 2B · L.268 / .816 · 21 HRvs hand .566 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score3William Contreras C · R.270 / .758 · 18 HRvs hand .767 · No MLB history · No history74H-Score4Andrew Vaughn 1B · R.306 / .834 · 6 HRvs hand .938 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample69H-Score5Christian Yelich DH · L.235 / .693 · 12 HRvs hand .628 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score6Joey Ortiz SS · R.270 / .730 · 9 HRvs hand .664 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score7Garrett Mitchell CF · L.262 / .770 · 11 HRvs hand .708 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score8Luis Lara RF · S.246 / .636 · 1 HRvs hand .642 · No MLB history · No history42H-Score9Cooper Pratt SS · R.281 / .718 · 3 HRvs hand .555 · No MLB history · No history46H-Score
Baltimore OriolesOfficial lineupvs RHP Dustin May
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs May (BvP)
1Dylan BeaversLLF54.6809.7152-for-2Very small sample
2Pete AlonsoR1B85.88543.9352-for-5Very small sample
3Gunnar HendersonLSS63.71224.7081-for-3Very small sample
4Coby MayoR3B68.75824.567No MLB historyNo history
5Samuel BasalloLC57.69718.7771-for-3Very small sample
6Christian Encarnacion-StrandR3B64.83811.743No MLB historyNo history
7Colton CowserLCF54.68713.7340-for-3Very small sample
8Jeremiah JacksonR2B43.61210.6132-for-3Very small sample
9Leody TaverasSCF43.6338.7081-for-2Very small sample
1Dylan Beavers LF · L.228 / .680 · 9 HRvs hand .715 · 2-for-2 · Very small sample54H-Score2Pete Alonso 1B · R.267 / .885 · 43 HRvs hand .935 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample85H-Score3Gunnar Henderson SS · L.225 / .712 · 24 HRvs hand .708 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample63H-Score4Coby Mayo 3B · R.228 / .758 · 24 HRvs hand .567 · No MLB history · No history68H-Score5Samuel Basallo C · L.222 / .697 · 18 HRvs hand .777 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample57H-Score6Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3B · R.277 / .838 · 11 HRvs hand .743 · No MLB history · No history64H-Score7Colton Cowser CF · L.226 / .687 · 13 HRvs hand .734 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample54H-Score8Jeremiah Jackson 2B · R.217 / .612 · 10 HRvs hand .613 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample43H-Score9Leody Taveras CF · S.219 / .633 · 8 HRvs hand .708 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample43H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseMILMIL·BALBAL
AVG.258 1st.234 27th
OPS.744 3rd.710 21st
Home runs154 28th199 10th
Runs832 2nd718 17th
OBP.341 1st.314 20th
SLG.403 11th.396 22nd
PitchingMILMIL·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.51vs4.07
MILBAL
WHIP1.18vs1.34
MILBAL
K/99.6vs8.2
MILBAL
HR Allowed171vs169
MILBAL
BullpenMILMIL·BALBAL
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.24vs4.03
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.22vs1.28
no league rank
Saves55vs46
MILBAL
ResultsMILMIL·BALBAL
+4531st
Run differential
+33310th
103–59 Record79–82
7–3 Last 106–4
Last 10 games
Milwaukee Brewers (7–3)
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
Baltimore Orioles (6–4)
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—1
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Brewers?+
Dustin May (4.49 ERA, 7–9) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Orioles?+
Cade Povich (4.05 ERA, 2–1) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:05 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Where is the game being played?+
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, home of the Baltimore Orioles.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Brewers and Orioles performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Orioles 1–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Dustin May is at 49; Cade Povich is at 41. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.