INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
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FinalFinal lineupsNL East / AL West

Atlanta Braves 6, Houston Astros 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

8:10 PM ET · Daikin ParkGame-day snapshot Sep 20, 2:02 AM ETFinal lineups lockedCurrent 2026 season stats — updated Oct 9, 5:00 AM ET
T-Score55
Atlanta Braves
94–68 · 1st NL East · T-Score 55
6
6–2
FINAL · 9 innings
Houston Astros
81–81 · 1st AL West · T-Score 52
2
T-Score52
FINAL · 9 innings
Pitching recap
PitcherTeamRoleIPHERBBKP
Tyler MahleATL
StarterWin
6.0311698
Peter LambertHOU
StarterLoss
5.1621687
Scoring by inning
123456789RHE
ATLAtlanta Braves0002002026110
HOUHouston Astros000100010251
Top hitters
Matt Olson3-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Michael Harris II3-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Ronald Acuña Jr.1-for-5 · 1 HR · 2 RBI
Isaac Paredes2-for-4 · 2 RBI
Drake Baldwin2-for-4 · 2 R · 1 BB

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherEvenBoth starters enter with comparable season profiles; neither holds a meaningful statistical advantage.
Offense vs handEvenThe handedness splits are nearly even, with less than a .009 difference in OPS.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Starter formBravesMahle has a 1.44 ERA over his last five starts, while Lambert is at 3.81.
Plate disciplineAstrosHouston has drawn 497 walks this season, 57 more than Atlanta.

Pregame contextStarting pitchers

ATL
Tyler Mahle RHP
Tyler Mahle
Atlanta Braves
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.91
101st
WHIP
1.25
89th
K/9
8.28
107th
BB/9
2.80
74th
P-Score58i
FIP
–
HR/9
1.17
118th
OPS/R
–
IP
138.0
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.44
QUALITY
START %
80%
(4 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
HOU
Peter Lambert RHP
Peter Lambert
Houston Astros
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.71
82nd
WHIP
1.22
94th
K/9
8.71
78th
BB/9
3.46
135th
P-Score56i
FIP
–
HR/9
0.86
67th
OPS/R
–
IP
145.2
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.81
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Mahle has produced a quality start in 80% of outings versus 50%.
·Lambert allows the lower home-run rate: 0.86 vs 1.17 per nine.
·Mahle walks 0.7 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Mahle enters with a 5.28 road ERA; Lambert owns a 3.99 ERA at home.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Mahle arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam48%92.8
Splitter30%86.3
Cutter15%87.8
Slider6%85.0
Sinker1%91.9
Lambert arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam32%93.9
Changeup24%86.9
Slider11%85.6
Cutter10%91.6
Sinker10%93.4
Sweeper8%82.8
Slurve5%80.2
Curveball0%77.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Braves vs RHP (Peter Lambert)
11th
in MLB
0.730OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Astros vs RHP (Tyler Mahle)
8th
in MLB
0.739OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineup strength vs today's starter

Weighted by batting-order spot. Season rates are regressed toward league average before they enter the model.

Updated Sep 18, 5:10 PM ET
ATLATL
.739
−2 ptsOPS edge
HOUHOU
.741

Even matchup

Full lineup comparison

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page
Atlanta BravesOfficial lineupvs RHP Peter Lambert
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Lambert (BvP)
1Drake BaldwinLC82.81725.888No MLB historyNo history
2Ronald Acuña Jr.RRF76.79620.8170-for-3Very small sample
3Matt OlsonL1B84.82341.8230-for-4Very small sample
4Michael Harris IILCF78.81226.8302-for-3Very small sample
5Mauricio DubónRLF57.72012.743No MLB historyNo history
6Ozzie AlbiesS2B54.68522.6571-for-3Very small sample
7Mike YastrzemskiLLF60.68912.6972-for-4Very small sample
8Austin RileyR3B61.65419.6512-for-5Very small sample
9Sean MurphyRC35.5563.6291-for-3Very small sample
1Drake Baldwin C · L.284 / .817 · 25 HRvs hand .888 · No MLB history · No history82H-Score2Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · R.255 / .796 · 20 HRvs hand .817 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample76H-Score3Matt Olson 1B · L.251 / .823 · 41 HRvs hand .823 · 0-for-4 · Very small sample84H-Score4Michael Harris II CF · L.294 / .812 · 26 HRvs hand .830 · 2-for-3 · Very small sample78H-Score5Mauricio Dubón LF · R.276 / .720 · 12 HRvs hand .743 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score6Ozzie Albies 2B · S.237 / .685 · 22 HRvs hand .657 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample54H-Score7Mike Yastrzemski LF · L.224 / .689 · 12 HRvs hand .697 · 2-for-4 · Very small sample60H-Score8Austin Riley 3B · R.219 / .654 · 19 HRvs hand .651 · 2-for-5 · Very small sample61H-Score9Sean Murphy C · R.182 / .556 · 3 HRvs hand .629 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample35H-Score
Houston AstrosOfficial lineupvs RHP Tyler Mahle
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Mahle (BvP)
1Jeremy PeñaRSS62.80222.8361-for-3Very small sample
2Yordan AlvarezLDH951.033421.1141-for-6Very small sample
3Isaac ParedesR3B69.80725.8151-for-3Very small sample
4Jose AltuveR2B50.70116.6720-for-3Very small sample
5Daulton VarshoLCF47.63612.6821-for-7Very small sample
6Christian WalkerR1B66.72629.7140-for-1Very small sample
7Taylor TrammellLLF45.6268.669No MLB historyNo history
8LaMonte Wade Jr.LLF39.6544.6531-for-2Very small sample
9Christian VázquezRC34.5837.5841-for-2Very small sample
1Jeremy Peña SS · R.277 / .802 · 22 HRvs hand .836 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample62H-Score2Yordan Alvarez DH · L.316 / 1.033 · 42 HRvs hand 1.114 · 1-for-6 · Very small sample95H-Score3Isaac Paredes 3B · R.262 / .807 · 25 HRvs hand .815 · 1-for-3 · Very small sample69H-Score4Jose Altuve 2B · R.250 / .701 · 16 HRvs hand .672 · 0-for-3 · Very small sample50H-Score5Daulton Varsho CF · L.221 / .636 · 12 HRvs hand .682 · 1-for-7 · Very small sample47H-Score6Christian Walker 1B · R.226 / .726 · 29 HRvs hand .714 · 0-for-1 · Very small sample66H-Score7Taylor Trammell LF · L.192 / .626 · 8 HRvs hand .669 · No MLB history · No history45H-Score8LaMonte Wade Jr. LF · L.205 / .654 · 4 HRvs hand .653 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample39H-Score9Christian Vázquez C · R.207 / .583 · 7 HRvs hand .584 · 1-for-2 · Very small sample34H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseATLATL·HOUHOU
AVG.246 10th.242 19th
OPS.718 16th.732 7th
Home runs204 7th226 1st
Runs742 8th734 13th
OBP.309 28th.315 19th
SLG.409 6th.417 4th
PitchingATLATL·HOUHOU
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.63vs4.45
ATLHOU
WHIP1.24vs1.34
ATLHOU
K/98.4vs8.8
ATLHOU
HR Allowed185vs204
ATLHOU
BullpenATLATL·HOUHOU
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.88vs3.59
no league rank
Bullpen WHIP1.24vs1.21
no league rank
Saves49vs49
ATLHOU
ResultsATLATL·HOUHOU
+32212th
Run differential
+30814th
94–68 Record81–81
4–6 Last 104–6
Last 10 games
Atlanta Braves (4–6)
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
Houston Astros (4–6)
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
1—2
3 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Braves?+
Tyler Mahle (3.91 ERA, 6–10) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Astros?+
Peter Lambert (3.71 ERA, 8–9) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
8:10 PM ET at Daikin Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Daikin Park, home of the Houston Astros.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Braves and Astros performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Astros 2–1 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Tyler Mahle is at 58; Peter Lambert is at 56. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.