INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
NYLATYOBERLON
TUE · SEP 8, 2026
SEP 8
FinalFinal lineupsNL West / NL East

San Diego Padres   vs   Miami Marlins Preview

July 25, 2026

Starting pitchers, lineup status, recent form, weather and current moneyline context at loanDepot park.

4:10 PM ET · loanDepot parkStats updated Jul 25, 3:45 PM ETFinal lineups lockedLast update Jul 25, 3:41 PM ET
T-Score56
San Diego Padres
75–68 · 3rd NL West · T-Score 56
7
7–2
FINAL
Miami Marlins
72–72 · 3rd NL East · T-Score 58
2
T-Score58
FINALSD +129 · MIA −140 · Total 8
SD +129 · MIA −140 · Total 8Last update Jul 25, 3:41 PM ET

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherMarlinsThe starters are close overall, but Pérez owns the better strikeout and control profile.
Offense vs handMarlinsMiami has produced the stronger offense against right-handed pitching.
BullpenEvenThe two bullpens have produced similar season ERA and WHIP.
Recent formPadresSan has won 5 of its last 10 and owns the stronger recent run differential.
WeatherLow impact77°F, wind 2 mph, no precipitation expected at first pitch.

Starting pitchers

SD
Randy Vásquez RHP
Randy Vásquez
San Diego Padres
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
4.02
106th
WHIP
1.28
101st
K/9
5.57
217th
BB/9
2.47
51st
P-Score52i
FIP
4.33
HR/9
1.06
93rd
OPS/R
0.609
IP
127.2
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.18
Road ERA3.86
Last 5 starts
ERA
10.80
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
3
MIA
Eury Pérez RHP
Eury Pérez
Miami Marlins
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.94
99th
WHIP
1.24
81st
K/9
9.69
43rd
BB/9
4.00
172nd
P-Score61i
FIP
4.07
HR/9
1.10
98th
OPS/R
0.763
IP
139.1
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.31
Road ERA4.54
Last 5 starts
ERA
1.24
QUALITY
START %
60%
(3 of 5)
DAYS
REST
6
How the starters differ
·Pérez strikes out 4.1 more batters per nine innings.
·Vásquez walks 1.5 fewer batters per nine innings.
·Pérez has produced a quality start in 60% of outings versus 0%.
·Pérez owns a 1.24 ERA over his last five starts, compared with 10.80 for Vásquez.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricVásquezPérezNote
ERA−10088Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP4.334.07
WAR1.22.0Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Vásquez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam31%95.1
Cutter24%91.0
Sinker16%95.1
Changeup8%88.6
Curveball8%84.0
Slider7%86.2
Sweeper5%84.3
Pérez arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Four-seam38%98.2
Sinker18%97.7
Slider17%88.4
Sweeper13%83.7
Changeup9%90.0
Curveball6%80.8

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Padres vs RHP (Eury Pérez)
22nd
in MLB
0.706OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Marlins vs RHP (Randy Vásquez)
9th
in MLB
0.739OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
San Diego PadresOfficial lineupvs RHP Eury Pérez
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Pérez (BvP)
1Fernando Tatis Jr.RRF83.79920.756No MLB historyNo history
2Jake CronenworthL2B36.5875.590No MLB historyNo history
3Manny MachadoR3B72.72826.727No MLB historyNo history
4Ty FranceR1B81.86620.875No MLB historyNo history
5Jackson MerrillLCF70.70822.709No MLB historyNo history
6Luis RengifoSLF47.6364.677No MLB historyNo history
7Gavin SheetsL1B60.70116.754No MLB historyNo history
8Xander BogaertsRSS59.63911.646No MLB historyNo history
9Freddy FerminRC35.5634.586No MLB historyNo history
1Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R.283 / .799 · 20 HRvs hand .756 · No MLB history · No history83H-Score2Jake Cronenworth 2B · L.210 / .587 · 5 HRvs hand .590 · No MLB history · No history36H-Score3Manny Machado 3B · R.224 / .728 · 26 HRvs hand .727 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score4Ty France 1B · R.288 / .866 · 20 HRvs hand .875 · No MLB history · No history81H-Score5Jackson Merrill CF · L.241 / .708 · 22 HRvs hand .709 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score6Luis Rengifo LF · S.240 / .636 · 4 HRvs hand .677 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score7Gavin Sheets 1B · L.211 / .701 · 16 HRvs hand .754 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score8Xander Bogaerts SS · R.219 / .639 · 11 HRvs hand .646 · No MLB history · No history59H-Score9Freddy Fermin C · R.192 / .563 · 4 HRvs hand .586 · No MLB history · No history35H-Score
Miami MarlinsOfficial lineupvs RHP Randy Vásquez
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Vásquez (BvP)
1Otto LopezRSS70.77610.759No MLB historyNo history
2Kyle StowersL1B75.80819.861No MLB historyNo history
3Heriberto HernándezRLF76.77824.726No MLB historyNo history
4Xavier EdwardsS2B60.7376.748No MLB historyNo history
5Liam HicksLC68.80917.890No MLB historyNo history
6Javier SanojaR3B58.7748.739No MLB historyNo history
7Griffin ConineLRF72.83815.914No MLB historyNo history
8Esteury RuizRRF51.7656.684No MLB historyNo history
9Jakob MarseeLCF52.6669.678No MLB historyNo history
1Otto Lopez SS · R.301 / .776 · 10 HRvs hand .759 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score2Kyle Stowers 1B · L.246 / .808 · 19 HRvs hand .861 · No MLB history · No history75H-Score3Heriberto Hernández LF · R.228 / .778 · 24 HRvs hand .726 · No MLB history · No history76H-Score4Xavier Edwards 2B · S.282 / .737 · 6 HRvs hand .748 · No MLB history · No history60H-Score5Liam Hicks C · L.288 / .809 · 17 HRvs hand .890 · No MLB history · No history68H-Score6Javier Sanoja 3B · R.292 / .774 · 8 HRvs hand .739 · No MLB history · No history58H-Score7Griffin Conine RF · L.251 / .838 · 15 HRvs hand .914 · No MLB history · No history72H-Score8Esteury Ruiz RF · R.234 / .765 · 6 HRvs hand .684 · No MLB history · No history51H-Score9Jakob Marsee CF · L.214 / .666 · 9 HRvs hand .678 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseSDSD·MIAMIA
AVG.236 25th.247 12th
OPS.700 25th.725 12th
Home runs159 19th148 25th
Runs602 24th631 18th
OBP.313 21st.326 6th
SLG.387 26th.399 19th
PitchingSDSD·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.91vs3.98
SDMIA
WHIP1.29vs1.26
SDMIA
K/98.3vs8.3
SDMIA
HR Allowed156vs144
SDMIA
BullpenSDSD·MIAMIA
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA4.15vs3.82
no league rank
Saves41vs31
SDMIA
ResultsSDSD·MIAMIA
+17317th
Run differential
+19213th
75–68 Record72–72
5–5 Last 100–10
Last 10 games
San Diego Padres (5–5)
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
Miami Marlins (0–10)
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
3—3
6 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Padres?+
Randy Vásquez (4.72 ERA, 6–6) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Marlins?+
Eury Pérez (3.53 ERA, 5–7) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
4:10 PM ET at loanDepot park.
Where is the game being played?+
loanDepot park, home of the Miami Marlins.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
What is the current moneyline?+
SD +129 · MIA −140 · Total 8. Lines are informational only.
What is the current total?+
The total is 8. Lines are informational.
How have the Padres and Marlins performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Marlins 3–3 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
Randy Vásquez is at 52; Eury Pérez is at 61. P-Score is PitcherStat's 0–100 season index for qualified starters.