Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds (2026-07-28). Gavin Williams vs Brady Singer at Great American Ball Park.

Starters — Gavin Williams has a 3.78 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 126.1 innings with elite swing-and-miss production at 11.11 K/9. His control has been solid at 2.64 BB/9, though the 1.42 HR/9 is a notable risk in this park. Over his last three starts, he has worked 20.0 innings with 7 earned runs, 33 strikeouts, and 1 walk, including a dominant 7.0 scoreless innings with 11 strikeouts last time out. The listed trend is down, but the recent strikeout form remains strong. Brady Singer carries a 4.53 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and 103.1 innings with 7.66 K/9, 2.79 BB/9, and a higher 1.83 HR/9. His last three starts have been steady: 21.0 innings, 6 earned runs, 17 strikeouts, and 2 walks. He has allowed 3, 2, and 1 earned run in those outings, so his recent form looks sharper than his full-season line, even with a down trend tag.

Teams — Cleveland enters with a .680 OPS and 420 runs scored, backed by a 3.75 team ERA and 1.27 WHIP. The lineup has been modest overall, and the recent 3-7 stretch suggests inconsistent run support despite the stronger pitching profile. Cincinnati has a slightly better .705 OPS and 432 runs, but the staff has been less reliable with a 4.52 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. The Reds are also in better recent form at 6-4 over their last 10, which matters given the gap between these offenses is small while bullpen and run-prevention quality leans toward Cleveland.