INDEPENDENT MLB ANALYTICSINDEPENDENT ANALYTICS
ETLATYOBERLON
FinalFinal lineupsAL Central / NL Central

Cleveland Guardians 0, Cincinnati Reds 2

Final Score and Game Recap

Final score, pitching lines and standings context.

7:10 PM ET · Great American Ball ParkStats updated Jul 28, 7:45 PM ETFinal lineups locked
T-Score59
Cleveland Guardians
74–73 · 2nd AL Central · T-Score 59
0
0–2
FINAL
Cincinnati Reds
69–77 · 5th NL Central · T-Score 28
2
T-Score28
FINAL

Matchup at a glance

PitcherStat calculation
CategoryComparisonWhy
Starting pitcherGuardiansWilliams owns the stronger overall starter profile, with the higher P-Score and better strikeout and baserunner rates.
BullpenGuardiansCleveland owns a 3.61 bullpen ERA this season, compared with Cincinnati's 4.36.
Recent formRedsCincinnati has been the better recent team, at 6–4 over the last 10.
Team strengthGuardiansCleveland leads 59–28 in T-Score.
PowerRedsCincinnati has 139 home runs this season, 34 more than Cleveland.

Starting pitchers

CLE
Gavin Williams RHP
Gavin Williams
Cleveland Guardians
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
3.78
84th
WHIP
1.09
31st
K/9
12.14
4th
BB/9
2.82
82nd
P-Score72i
FIP
3.48
HR/9
1.44
163rd
OPS/R
0.764
IP
169.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA3.01
Road ERA4.79
Last 5 starts
ERA
3.64
QUALITY
START %
40%
(2 of 5)
DAYS
REST
5
CIN
Caleb Ferguson LHP
Caleb Ferguson
Cincinnati Reds
2026 season (MLB rank among qualified starters)
ERA
5.18
WHIP
1.70
K/9
8.45
BB/9
5.18
FIP
4.92
HR/9
1.36
OPS/R
0.941
IP
33.0
2026 ERA splits
Home ERA4.42
Road ERA6.14
Last 5 starts
ERA
11.25
QUALITY
START %
0%
(0 of 5)
DAYS
REST
4
How the starters differ
·Williams strikes out 3.7 more batters per nine innings.
·Williams owns the lower FIP, 3.48 to 4.92.
·Williams allows fewer baserunners, with a 1.09 WHIP compared with 1.70.
·Williams has produced a quality start in 40% of outings versus 0%.
Advanced starter metricsERA−, FIP, WAR, career vs opponent
MetricWilliamsFergusonNote
ERA−91123Park- and league-adjusted; 100 is average.
FIP3.484.92
WAR3.2-0.1Season value.

How the lineups match the starters' pitch mix

Pitch data coverage: partial. Usage and velocity only.

Williams arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sweeper28%86.6
Four-seam27%95.9
Curveball22%81.9
Sinker16%96.1
Cutter6%91.8
Ferguson arsenal
PitchUsageVelo
Sinker33%92.3
Cutter26%87.5
Four-seam25%92.2
Slurve16%80.1

Team OPS vs opposing starter's hand

Guardians vs LHP (Caleb Ferguson)
28th
in MLB
0.659OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000
Reds vs RHP (Gavin Williams)
28th
in MLB
0.692OPS
.600.700.800.9001.000

Lineups

Final lineupsOrder from the stored snapshot; treat as unofficial until the card is filed.Full lineup page →
Cleveland GuardiansOfficial lineupvs LHP Caleb Ferguson
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs LHPVs Ferguson (BvP)
1Steven KwanLLF52.7072.613No MLB historyNo history
2José RamírezS3B62.69711.873No MLB historyNo history
3Chase DeLauterLRF82.82914.855No MLB historyNo history
4Rhys HoskinsR1B57.68213.643No MLB historyNo history
5Brayan RocchioSSS52.68113.632No MLB historyNo history
6Travis BazzanaL2B61.72111.523No MLB historyNo history
7Gabriel AriasR3B45.6605.285No MLB historyNo history
8Austin HedgesRC47.6895.707No MLB historyNo history
9Petey HalpinLCF28.5663.110No MLB historyNo history
1Steven Kwan LF · L.275 / .707 · 2 HRvs hand .613 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score2José Ramírez 3B · S.234 / .697 · 11 HRvs hand .873 · No MLB history · No history62H-Score3Chase DeLauter RF · L.296 / .829 · 14 HRvs hand .855 · No MLB history · No history82H-Score4Rhys Hoskins 1B · R.179 / .682 · 13 HRvs hand .643 · No MLB history · No history57H-Score5Brayan Rocchio SS · S.247 / .681 · 13 HRvs hand .632 · No MLB history · No history52H-Score6Travis Bazzana 2B · L.243 / .721 · 11 HRvs hand .523 · No MLB history · No history61H-Score7Gabriel Arias 3B · R.245 / .660 · 5 HRvs hand .285 · No MLB history · No history45H-Score8Austin Hedges C · R.253 / .689 · 5 HRvs hand .707 · No MLB history · No history47H-Score9Petey Halpin CF · L.215 / .566 · 3 HRvs hand .110 · No MLB history · No history28H-Score
Cincinnati RedsOfficial lineupvs RHP Gavin Williams
#HitterPosH-ScoreOPSHRvs RHPVs Williams (BvP)
1Elly De La CruzSSS87.87326.792No MLB historyNo history
2Sal StewartR1B80.81531.794No MLB historyNo history
3JJ BledayLLF70.74322.799No MLB historyNo history
4Nathaniel LoweL1B70.78517.885No MLB historyNo history
5Dane MyersRCF58.7446.648No MLB historyNo history
6Noelvi MarteRRF30.5506.552No MLB historyNo history
7Ivan JohnsonS2B—.2740.476No MLB historyNo history
8Jose TrevinoRC32.5825.602No MLB historyNo history
9Ke'Bryan HayesR3B38.4605.437No MLB historyNo history
1Elly De La Cruz SS · S.283 / .873 · 26 HRvs hand .792 · No MLB history · No history87H-Score2Sal Stewart 1B · R.267 / .815 · 31 HRvs hand .794 · No MLB history · No history80H-Score3JJ Bleday LF · L.214 / .743 · 22 HRvs hand .799 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score4Nathaniel Lowe 1B · L.254 / .785 · 17 HRvs hand .885 · No MLB history · No history70H-Score5Dane Myers CF · R.271 / .744 · 6 HRvs hand .648 · No MLB history · No history58H-Score6Noelvi Marte RF · R.189 / .550 · 6 HRvs hand .552 · No MLB history · No history30H-Score7Ivan Johnson 2B · S.063 / .274 · 0 HRvs hand .476 · No MLB history · No history—H-Score8Jose Trevino C · R.222 / .582 · 5 HRvs hand .602 · No MLB history · No history32H-Score9Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · R.153 / .460 · 5 HRvs hand .437 · No MLB history · No history38H-Score

Team comparison

OffenseCLECLE·CINCIN
AVG.237 24th.230 29th
OPS.686 28th.706 23rd
Home runs138 29th196 4th
Runs598 27th611 25th
OBP.314 20th.308 30th
SLG.372 30th.398 20th
PitchingCLECLE·CINCIN
1stMLB rank30th
ERA3.80vs4.73
CLECIN
WHIP1.27vs1.43
CLECIN
K/99.5vs8.3
CLECIN
HR Allowed163vs188
CLECIN
BullpenCLECLE·CINCIN
1stMLB rank30th
Bullpen ERA3.61vs4.36
no league rank
Saves40vs39
CLECIN
ResultsCLECLE·CINCIN
+16719th
Run differential
+9328th
74–73 Record69–77
3–7 Last 106–4
Last 10 games
Cleveland Guardians (3–7)
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
Cincinnati Reds (6–4)
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
2026 head-to-head
Season Series
2—5
7 Games Played

Frequently asked

Who is starting for the Guardians?+
Gavin Williams (3.78 ERA, 10–5) is listed as the starter.
Who is starting for the Reds?+
Caleb Ferguson (3.86 ERA, 1–0) is listed as the starter.
What time does the game start?+
7:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.
Where is the game being played?+
Great American Ball Park, home of the Cincinnati Reds.
Are the lineups confirmed?+
Not as official league cards. The orders shown are the current projected or last-posted lineups.
How have the Guardians and Reds performed head-to-head?+
Season series: Reds 5–2 this season.
How do the starters compare on P-Score?+
P-Score is available for one starter only.